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Why a Trump victory in November is a virtual certainty
The Hill's Pundit Blog ^ | September 12, 2016 | Helmut Norpoth

Posted on 09/13/2016 2:06:38 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Add to that the fact 25% of absentee voters in FL never voted before - therefore were never polled.


21 posted on 09/13/2016 2:34:57 PM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
They cite the election of 1912 as an example. To be fair, It should be noted that although Taft won the GOP nomination, Theodore Roosevelt ran as a third party candidate in the general election, splitting the vote, allowing Wilson to win.
22 posted on 09/13/2016 2:40:16 PM PDT by fhayek
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To: dynoman

Trump will win FL, OH and IA for sure. He leads in ALL of them.

He will be our next President.

Obama’s appearance in PA today was interesting; if Hillary had it in the bag, he wouldn’t have gone there.

His swing there will make no difference; PA is going to go Trump.


23 posted on 09/13/2016 2:42:14 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Never take any poll for granted.
GET OUT AND VOTE!.....................


24 posted on 09/13/2016 2:53:48 PM PDT by Red Badger (YES, I'm Deplorable! I Deplore the entire Democrat Party!....................)
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To: dp0622
Though I do feel very confident.

I am feeling better about the election too.

25 posted on 09/13/2016 2:55:39 PM PDT by painter ( Isaiah: �Woe to those who call evil good and good evil,")
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To: kagnew

“I don’t take sucker bets.......you can almost be assured that for all their threats, none of them will leave.”

I left when Buckwheat was “elected”, so I have to suppose it is possible...but about as likely as me breaking the bank in Vegas.


26 posted on 09/13/2016 3:00:35 PM PDT by Gideon300
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To: goldstategop

Nate Silver will be as wrong as he was in the primaries. Good. He’s a prick IMO.


27 posted on 09/13/2016 3:13:43 PM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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To: dynoman

CLOWN Nate Silver knows about Helmut Norpoth that’s why he doesn’t have Hillary at 90+% certainty for POTUS! LOL


28 posted on 09/13/2016 3:17:16 PM PDT by KavMan
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

You’ve got to be kidding! With all the dirty tricks that the DNC will try to pull and the stupidity of the American electorate, nothing is certain in American politics.


29 posted on 09/13/2016 3:23:44 PM PDT by 353FMG (AMERICA MATTERS)
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To: dynoman

It’s not just your opinion, he is a prick

If Silver doesn’t have FL and OH going Trump right now either he knows about the rigging or he’s in denial.


30 posted on 09/13/2016 3:51:40 PM PDT by Mjreagan
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To: fortheDeclaration

I agree and this would hold true even if the health issue wasn’t out there. While certainty isn’t there and there could be some unforeseen events in the future if I had to bet I would place money on Trump.


31 posted on 09/13/2016 4:00:22 PM PDT by xp38
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To: Little Ray

“What are the bookies saying?”

That Jeb Bush would win the Republican primary. After that, the bookies said that Brexit would lose. I wouldn’t bet the farm on what the bookies predicted.


32 posted on 09/13/2016 6:05:10 PM PDT by sergeantdave
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