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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Don’t get too excited. This is a 7 day moving average poll that could not have possibly included any data from DNC’s post acceptance speech.


47 posted on 07/29/2016 10:40:26 AM PDT by lafroste
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To: lafroste
"...A new election poll released this morning (conducted on July 28)"
53 posted on 07/29/2016 10:41:58 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland US. There'd be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: lafroste
Don’t get too excited. This is a 7 day moving average poll that could not have possibly included any data from DNC’s post acceptance speech.

Correct. But not well understood so keep posting this info. I expect this poll to be the most valuable of the daily polls going forward because it his hard to fudge. They have picked the 3000 participants and so we have a fixed distribution of D's, R's and I's.

If you read the posts on this thread you will realize that 99% of the Freepers do not understand the USC polling methodology. We have at least a week to go before we can fully assess the results of the USC moving average poll.

But the trend in that poll will be meaningful and should be watched carefully. Today it turned up a bit for Hillary for the first time in a week or so. It is very likely to continue to do so for a few days. If it doesn't then we can celebrate. At this point we can't. Not yet.

81 posted on 07/29/2016 11:12:13 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you should have endorsed. Big mistake.)
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