Wow! A Trump guy who is honest and objective. I agree with most of what you said. I think the margin is somewhere at about 10% but has closed in the last few days and the trend is making it closer. I agree with you that a three way race favors Trump, while a two way race tends to favor Cruz. I also think that those states that are “open” primaries tend to favor Trump while the “closed” one favor Cruz. It is also possible, however, that a three way might lead to a contested convention, where both Cruz and Trump might get cheated!
I will disagree with you in that I think that the trend could move all the way into a Cruz win, which would be a disaster for Trump.
BTW, I think some of my fellow Cruisers have been unrealistic too, so hope you didn’t take offense at what I said at the beginning.
I’m actually a Cruz guy. I just try to be objective in how I see the race.