Look, this Trump ‘thing’ has disrupted the normal insider game where the lobbyists and special agenda people talk money, positions, and get their guy in line with their agenda. Trump won’t be dictated to, or led around by these guys. Fox News is being used to hustle Trump out, but apparently their ‘Fair and Balanced’ routine isn’t being bought by apparently half of the Fox viewers (we got smart over the past six years).
Trump is going to be around for the remainder of 2015, and put a severe ‘hurt’ on Iowa and New Hampshire. He might actually be able to hustle up fifteen state wins during the primary. But don’t worry....convention rules allow almost one unassigned delegate for each sent by state primaries....which means that the VIP guys will ensure that Trump can’t win at the convention.
I think a quarter of all Republicans will be disgusted with the convention outcome, and vow not to support who wins. And no, I don’t think it works for Hillary because she’s likely in legal trouble and some unknown character will emerge by Iowa to reshape the whole Democratic contender thing.
I wish people would listen to you. I remember in 2012, there were many people who warned GOP leadership that a Romney nomination would cause many people to vote third party. Of course, party leaders didn't listen. Then, during the last weeks of the campaign (in October) we heard the pitch that a third party vote was a vote for Obama. It didn't matter. A lot of folks voted 3rd party and a lot of folks just stayed home.
NOW WE ARE SEEING A REPEAT OF THE SAME PROCESS. Once again, party leaders are planning to "Push Bush" and sabotage every conservative candidate. They are becoming frightened because their plan to "Dump Trump" is taking longer than they expected and they know that even after they get rid of Trump, they will then have to sabotage Cruz. Bush may be worthless as a candidate by the time they get rid of first Trump and then Cruz. Fox, Rove, et al. are getting desperate.
If they succeed in nominating Bush, there will be a repeat of 2012. They will spend October warning that a 3rd party vote will be a vote for Hillary, etc. and that we have no choice but to vote for Bush. But, we will have a choice and Bush will go the way of Romney.
The leadership should get it through their heads NOW that BUSH IS NOT ACCEPTABLE TO TOO MANY PEOPLE.
Biden wins
That’s mostly how I see it except that I believe Hillary will have another stroke and be sidelined by her health.
Unlike Perot, I see Trump winning a three way race.