I remember when Reagan was running, that was the same talking point, it was used by every media outlet and the dems.
Once people heard him, they realized they were being lied to. I think if Cruz makes the debates the same thing will happen for him.
He's on the edge of making it. It's not a sure thing. He's been sliding down in the RCP average, and is in 8th place now. Trump jumped ahead of him.
The MSM is promoting Kasich as likely to get a big bump from his announce, timed well to get into the debates.
| Poll | Date | Bush | Walker | Carson | Rubio | Huckabee | Paul | Trump | Cruz | Perry | Christie | Santorum | Fiorina | Kasich | Jindal | Graham | Spread |
| RCP Average | 6/11 - 6/28 | 16.3 | 10.5 | 9.8 | 9.3 | 7.8 | 7.3 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | Bush +5.8 |