Sampling Bias favoring Amnesty Jeb. Undersamples Independents and Rats. Oversamples Republicans.
Republican
This Poll: 57% 2012 Primary Electorate 49% +8
Independent
This Poll: 42% 2012 Primary Electorate 47% -5
Democrat
This Poll: 1% 2012 Primary Electorate 4% -3
Here are the poll internals and 2102 primary exit polling links:
http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/states/new-hampshire/exit-polls
We don’t vote for 270 days.
Relax.