He’s delusional. Remember the concept of “low information voter”? Or does he believe Lucy won’t pull the football this time?
If he means some idiot debate gaffe could end a campaign, he’s right, but the early panel discussions (which aren’t debates) won’t mean much. It will be mostly lack of money that winnows the field, and even then the Rove-Bush gang can keep the Huckabee-types in as long as they’re needed.