If you like stats, you should look at our OH Absentee thread. I'll post an update shortly. Bottom line: Ds are underperforming by 5-20 points in almost every county (and in absolutely every significant county) from 2008. Rs are overperforming.
Based on this, it won't be close.
15 posted on 10/10/2012 10:33:06 AM PDT by LS
("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
Bottom line: Ds are underperforming by 5-20 points in almost every county (and in absolutely every significant county) from 2008. Rs are overperforming.
I have heard anecdotes along these lines but it would be great to see real data if it is available.