Your mistake is listening to CNN. Pretty easy to manufacture an Obama win when you over sample Dems 13 points like CNN does.
Rasmussen Daily Swing State Poll: Romney now leading by 4 points in the Swing States
The 11 states included in this poll are: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
Head-to-Head: (Previous results from September 6)
Mitt Romney 47% (47%)
Barack Obama 43% (44%)
Some other candidate 4% (5%)
Undecided 5% (5%)
A survey of approximately 1,300 likely voters was conducted August 30-September 5, 2012. The MOE is +/-3%.