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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Why bother commenting when you’re just going to ignore the facts anyway.

Newt is taking away 0 delegates from Romney and keeping Rick’s vote totals under 50%, allowing Romney to pick up more delegates than he would otherwise in a two man race. This has been mathematically proven ad nauseum, but you Newt supporters refuse to look at the math.

If this were a two-man race, the month of May looks very bad for Romney. That month IN, NC, AR, KY, WV, and OR all vote. With the exception of maybe OR, all the other states on that list would be favorable for Santorum to win 50%+ in a two-man race. That would give him at least some momentum going into the June 5 primaries in CA and NJ with the chance to stop Romney short of 1,144 delegates.

However, with Newt in the race, Rick can’t pick enough delegates up and because he is under 50%, Romney will grab more delegates in Southern states than he normally would (AL/MS/OK - SEE AS EXAMPLES).

Example: AR coming up in May, Rick would easily take a 35-1 split of the delegates, with Romney’s sole delegate awarded for getting over 15%. However, with Newt in, Romney will probably grab as many as 6-7 delegates since no one will get to 50%.

Newt is a stalking horse. The math prooves it. Does Rick have to win a boatload of the remaining delegates? Yes? Is it possible? Unlikely, but based on the May Calendar still doable. Is it possible to do this with Newt in the race? Absolutely not.


3 posted on 03/24/2012 1:03:21 PM PDT by parksstp (I pick RIck! (If he's good enough for Mark Levin and Rush Limbaugh, he's good enough for me))
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To: parksstp

So we get a Catholic Theocratic statist (Ricky) instead of a Mormon Theocratic statist? Neine, danke!


4 posted on 03/24/2012 1:06:52 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (Ich habe keinen Konig aber Gott)
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To: parksstp

Santorum should drop out and let a real fiscal conservative pick up the conservative votes. Santorum may be a social conservative, but anybody who supports big unions like Santorum does is no fiscal conservative. At this point in time we need a fiscal conservative like Newt, not a one issue social conservative like Rick.


5 posted on 03/24/2012 1:12:02 PM PDT by John D
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To: parksstp
The Library of Congress offers some clues why Rick Santorum is losing this primary race to a lying, sleazy, crony communist puke like Mitt Romney.

Religion and the Founding of the American Republic

Like any other sort of wannabee tyrant given an inch, religious tyrants will take a mile, and will then push on to destruction.


14 posted on 03/24/2012 1:37:29 PM PDT by meadsjn (Sarah 2012, or sooner)
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To: parksstp
There you go again, assuming that without Newt, Santuckabee gets every one of his votes. Your entire approach is based on projection and innuendo. You seem impervious to the reality that your numerous “pontifications” are grossly inaccurate, and rather grandiose.

In reality, if Newt drops out, Romney has a slight advantage in getting over half of Newt's voters. It's a simple reality, based on real facts. Not even you understand your own math. That much is a fact that you seem to be ignoring yourself.

22 posted on 03/24/2012 1:55:11 PM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: parksstp

1) Rick did not “get out” after SC, why should Newt.
2) Rick & Newt held a press conference where they agreed they would both campaign until the convention. Sorry, I don’t have a link.
3) Santorum participated in the spending spree running up until the well-deserved 2006 shellacking.
4) Santorum has never led anything, unlike Newt.
5) Santorum can’t debate like Newt, and isn’t as bright.

Basically, for not divorcing his 1st wife, being pro-life, being a Catholic/Christian, never being an exec, never leading, pushing Specter and not Toomey, Santorum should be the nominee.

I’ll support Santorum as the nominee if he gets there, but Newt for now.

They agreed together to stay in. I trust they grasp what’s going on better than us, assuming they are actually on our side, and want one of each other, and not Romney.


39 posted on 03/24/2012 4:00:50 PM PDT by ROTB (FReepmail me if you want to join a team seeking the LORD for a Christian revival now in the USA.)
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To: parksstp

“(Newt)...keeping Rick’s vote totals under 50%, allowing Romney to pick up more delegates than he would otherwise in a two man race. This has been mathematically proven ad nauseum, but you Newt supporters refuse to look at the math.”

Maybe the Newt supporters think Santorum will fold up like a cheap suit to be Romney’s VP if Newt drops out.


44 posted on 03/24/2012 5:28:46 PM PDT by Bizhvywt
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