Could be. Or, could be only true in Iowa and therefore not an issue. He still looks very strong in SC and Florida and National polls. Only Iowa and the internet junkies are getting bombed by all the negativity against him. Not the whole country. Then there is this: if Newt goes down, Mitt wins unless there is somehow a Perry miracle. Period. Santorum and Bachmann are jumping the shark in Iowa as a last gasp. Even if successful in the short run, it won't have legs. Never does. The only time Iowa winner wins the nomination is when it's a fait accompli before Iowa like GWB. So you may be right. Newt may be going down (but I don't think so). Be careful what you wish for.
well, he won’t be looking so good in sc and fl if he loses big in ia and nh. Ask Rudy how the wait for the later contests strategy worked out for him.
the problem is we have too many non-Romneys. They all need to get together and decide on one of them. Hopefully IA and NH thin the herd and by SC we have one solid person to get behind. In tha situation, I think they’d beat Romney rather comfortably.
you also assume that there won’t be someone else who would declare and start running in say Feb/Mar once the field is much smaller. I’m not saying it will happen. But it could. I can think of a few folks who may fit the bill for that.
I’m not worried about it. If Gingrich falls as I suspect he will, conservatives are NOT going to go to Paul, so either Santorum or Perry WILL get their votes in South Carolina.
And if Gingrich does NOT fall down, eventually Perry and Santorum should be gone, and Gingrich will get all the non-Romney votes, even those of us who think he’s not very conservative and might well be unelectable.
We haven’t taken a vote yet, so let’s not give up and support McCain the Second just to stop Mitt.