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To: 2ndDivisionVet

If you draw up scenarios....I can’t see any of these candidates taking more than twenty states during the primaries. Rick Perry will win Texas and probably three states out in the west. Mitt will win fairly big but not in the south or along the east coast. Newt will take half the south and most of the midwest, and Cain will pick up three or four states. It might become an interesting convention.


3 posted on 11/28/2011 12:31:21 AM PST by pepsionice
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To: pepsionice

I dont see it happening. Primaries these days tend to snowball. I understand the way it looks right now, today, it looks like its headed to a stale-mate. But people tend to jump on and off bandwagons when the day comes to cast a ballot.

By the time this thing gets to South Carolina, some of these candidates will have thrown in the towel. If they don’t, voters will jump off and then cling to whoever else closely matches their philosophy that has a chance to win.

That’s why I would not put a whole lot of faith in those SC or FL polls. Because they will change pending the outcome of the earlier races.


6 posted on 11/28/2011 12:59:43 AM PST by floridarunner01
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To: pepsionice

Perry will win Texas the way Al Gore won Tennessee.

Statewide, Perry has earned just as high a cadre of unrelenting foes as you see here.


15 posted on 11/28/2011 4:22:59 AM PST by MrEdd (Heck? Geewhiz Cripes, thats the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aint going.)
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To: pepsionice
Newt will take half the south

Not a chance -- too many religious conservatives who won't vote for a habitual adulterer.

23 posted on 11/28/2011 7:21:44 AM PST by Retro Llama
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