[Arlis]

Liz - hope you are correct.

I understood your points when I read the post, but still find it amazing that with an approval rating of one recent poll of 39% that Perry wouldn’t still beat him.

But I’m not so sure your analysis that it is SOLELY about “Perry’s dwindling chances”.

[Liz]

There are conflicting political winds blowing here. However, with Perry being touted as "the favorite," numbers like this are significant about HIS chances. In light of his calculated campaign strategy to date, Perry's downhill slide is not what he expected.

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READY FOR ANOTHER ANALYSIS (/snix)?

He has a curious string of unbroken wins in Texas that would be hard to achieve elsewhere....plus a mighty presidential war chest of million and millions of dollars, apparently accumulated when he said he WAS NOT running for president.

Watching him in action, I get the feeling Texans don't have much say in the matter of Perry being elected governor.

BACKSTORY Perry did not officially enter the Iowa straw poll......but he calculatedly timed throwing his hat in the ring on the same day Bachman won the Iowa straw poll----stomping all over Bachman's hard-won victory.

Perry cunningly manipulated the Iowa vote from Texas. That strategy was supposed to put him over the top. Instead he got a pathetic 700-800 write-ins ...while Iowa winners who did the right thing-—spending time and money there-—— got 4000 votes each.

The Perrydactyl's were cued to "say" Ricky won Iowa. And there Perry was----front and center---waving to Iowans, taking pics in front of prominent Iowa banners---manipulating the media to make it look like he was the winner.

The winner in his own mind.