He still has many advantages (no primary opponent, incumbency, money, media spin). But he is oh so vulnerable.
Its a record that anybody would LOVE to run on:
$4 gas
10% unemployment
surging inflation
plunging home prices
recurring $1.5 trillion deficits
45 million on food stamps
Also, the current occupant of the Oval Office is committed to spending something like a billion dollars, either directly or on his behalf, in a re-election bid that promises to be the most opposition-research based, incivil, and downright dirty to the point of vote corruption, campaign in history. Even FDR could not bring this degree of dehumanizing opponents to bear.
This time, the “malefactors of great wealth” are on the side of SUPPORTING the forces of “progressive” government, not in resisting them.
Integrity is not the most distinguishing trait of this regime.
The Pew polls always skew for the Democrats, so Obama is half way done toast.