[behzinlea]

There is NO Republican on the horizon capable of forging a winning coalition like Reagan did in 1980. Palin doesn't cut it. Huckabee sure as hell doesn't cut it. The most fervent supporters of each spends more time attacking the other than both combined spend attacking the Democrats.

The remaining alternatives on the Republican side are lightweights or fundamentally and fatally flawed. We're doomed unless the Democrats fracture so badly that they run two candidates in the general election (ne as a supposed "independent").

[ansel12]

Palin is totally able to forge a winning coalition.

Palin can win 50.7% of the vote, which is what Reagan got.