So USCB is behind the times (metro Dallas +2 rather than +1?). That was also their 2009 estimate. I saw Dick Morris predict +4 instead of +3 for Texas the other day.
Well, yes and no.
Ralph Hall (the red district) is only there because he needs to trade territory to Pete Sessions.
There’s really only about 1.5 districts worth of new people.
The overall result in texas is 23 safe seats that McCain won by 60% or more, 10 Dem seats, and 3 VRA seats that McCain won by 53-54% (TX-23, TX-27, TX-35).