I had heard FL has an independent commission as well.
Pinellas (St. Pete) has lost 0.16 of a seat, mitigated by Pasco (northern exurbs) gaining 0.12 and Hillsborough (Tampa) gaining 0.11. Otherwise Lee (Ft. Myers) gains 0.13, Orange 0.12, Osceola 0.11, Lake 0.11...
CD 5 (including parts of Lake and Pasco) had over 300K votes....that one will shed constituents one way or another...not sure what the commission’s guidelines are, or whether they’re inclined to follow them...
South Carolina:
Greenville +0.13 of a seat, Horry (Myrtle Beach) +0.11,
York (Rock Hill - I want to say that’s exurban Charlotte) +0.10, Richland (Columbia) + 0.09, and Charleston +0.08.
So the new seat could be anywhere. The largest vote totals were in the 2nd district (Joe Wilson) which stretches from Columbia southeast to Port Royal and Beaufort. This was a rather salient race with the opposing candidate well funded as I recall, so it’s not necessarily the district with the highest population growth. Several counties in the district voted straight Democrat (US House, Governor, and US Senate).
Currently the R’s lead the delegation 5-1. I don’t think it’s possible to draw 6 safe R seats — no better than 5-1 and a tossup.
The FL 8th (Alan Grayson to Daniel Webster) is a Gerrymandered district. It won’t exist in its current form.
Florida has rules that require county continuity ‘wherever possible’. There is no commission though, the districts are still drawn by legislatures. The state probably goes R+1/D+1, and Allen West loses his district.