For those of us who do not live in NY, could you link the locations of the districts to the names of cities so we can relate your post to something concrete! Fo instance, where is Albany in this scenario? Saratoga Springs? Binghampton? Clifton Park? Thanks.
The way I see it...1-16 metro NYC...districts stay roughly as is.
17 - Bronx-Westchester-Rockland...This one will need to spread further north. (D)
18 - Westchester - as is. (D)
19 - lower Hudson (R) - since the 17th has to go north, this one continues the ripple. If Dems control the process it will go into the 20th; if it’s a compromise it might get some of the 22nd.
20 - exurban Albany (R), including Saratoga.
21 - metro Albany (D)
22 - currently stretches from the lower Hudson to Cornell
through Binghamton (D) -
23 - big district upstate (D)
24 - Utica to the finger lakes (R). If eliminated incumbent could possibly run in the 23rd.
25 - metro Syracuse (R) - could become Democrat if it took in Cornell (at the risk of losing the 22nd). If it shifts east instead of south, it’s more Republican but then it obliterates the 24th.
26 - eastern suburbs and exurbs of Buffalo (R). This is the most Republican district in the state.
27 - Buffalo and points southwest (D)
28 - Niagara Falls to Rochester (D) - has lost population;
Slaughter wins comfortably so she could take in extra territory anywhere; she might prefer it to the east.
29 - Southwestern Tier (excluding Chatauqua) to the finger lakes. This one will have to shift east one way or another.