FL: Majority black: 3rd (Brown) - has to add 37K population and 4K blacks, 17 (Wilson D), 23 (Hastings D)
Majority hispanic:
18 (Ros-Lehtinen R), 21 (Diaz-Balart R), and 25 (Rivera R).
The most populous districts are the 5th (Nugent R - north
of Tampa) and 14th (Mack R - Ft. Myers).
GA: Majority black: 4th (Johnson), 5th (Lewis), and 13th (Scott). 2nd (Bishop) is only 48%; could easily exchange territory with the 8th to get over 50% though.
Most populous is the 7th (Woodall R). The new district figures to be metro Atlanta, favoring R.
ID: 1st has to send 58K constituents to the 2nd.
IL: Majority black: 1, 2, 7. 7th needs to add 74K residents and 30K blacks; 1st needs to add 125K residents; 2nd needs to add 110K residents.
Majority hispanic: 4, which needs to add 112K residents.
The 8 contiguous seats in the Chicago area are 1.3M short — just enough for 6.13 seats. The 4th probably has to retain its odd shape; also the 7th, to remain majority black, has to shift south — forcing the 1st and 3rd to take about 120K residents from the 13th and the 2nd to take about 120K residents from the 11th.
The 4th, with its apparently high illegal alien population, elected Gutierrez with only 63K votes and can’t take on as much Republican territory as other districts.
So the 4th, 5th, and 9th shift north. Democrats did win the Lake County portion of the 10th and the Cook County portion of the 8th. So a Dold-Schakowsky matchup is possible, with Walsh possibly inheriting some unfriendly real estate.
IN: Discussed already
IA: None of the state’s 3 Dems won by a large margin, and each has to add at least 119K constituents. A Latham-Boswell or Latham-Braley matchup is possible.
KY: 1st should drop 36K to the 2nd (both R), 4th (R) needs to drop 18K and the 6th (narrow D) needs to drop 36K to the 5th.
LA: already agreed on a map I think — Landry and Boustany in the same district.
ME: nearly even already but they don’t put a new one in place until 2014.