Most pollsters have been somewhat consistent from week to week, showing only gradual trends, if any. PPP has been all over the map. Just a week or two ago, they had Sestak leading by 3 in PA, then a couple of days later, they had Toomey wining by 7. Same scenario in many other races.
Rasmussen shows Manchin up by 4 percent this morning.
Rasmussen has Manchin’s lead growing a bit further. Ras has Manchin up 4 now.
Most pollsters are showing the same thing. Manchin is basically running as a conservative, and that has helped to move into a slight lead.
The generic likely voter numbers are favoring Republicans by such large numbers now that Manchin still might lose just based on who actually shows up.
any Dem who is 10% or under ahead is in danger of going out on Tuesday, a generic push of 6% from the republicans will put them out.
That puts the entire senate in play.