[kevkrom]

Christine, on Hannity tonight, talked about the people in their 40s, 50s, and 60s, who are first-time voters, because they've never had anyone to vote for in Delaware. Pollsters would have had no way of contacting these first-time voters.

The science behind polling tells us that it's actually extremely accurate, if they can accurately model turnout. That is, in a general population that matches the poll's weighted sampling, polls are extremely predictive.

In a year like this, it's quite possible that actual turnout completely blows away any existing models -- it's not that the polls themselves were "wrong", they would simply have been weighted to incorrect assumptions.

[muawiyah]

The "independent" vote in Delaware has been growing rapidly as Democrats are turned off by the antics of the Pelosi/Obama wing of the party.

Because the Republicans ran the idea into the ground that they have to have a mind-numbed robot-like knee-jerk Liberal to run to beat the Democrats, the former Democrats there really don't see anyone they'd care to vote for.

Christine is probably right that the demographic has changed, and dramatically so.

It sure changed in Republican ranks, so why not Independents?!

[JPG]

Wasn't the turnout in DE in the GOP primary almost double what was expected?