If the match is EVEN prior to the absentee votes being counted:
If all Registered Republicans voted Republican on the absentee ballots
And
If all Registered Democrats voted Democrat on the absentee ballots
Then it looks like Murphy would need 57.14% of the independent voters, who cast absentee ballots, to win.
I still say it looks pretty good for Tedisco!
(Especially since, NOW, it looks like Tedisco is ahead PRIOR to the absentee vote count!)
Whoops let me check that again
How sad that we even have to worry about that little fact. That's not to say that a registered Republican shouldn't ever vote outside of party lines. It's just pathethic that the Democrats can pretty much count on registered Democrats to vote Democrat in very high percentages. (Reagan era excluded, of course.)