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PA 04: Altmire (D) +5
Real Clear Politics ^ | September 9, 2008

Posted on 09/13/2008 7:50:30 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued

Former Pennsylvania Rep. Melissa Hart lost her 2006 race to Democrat Jason Altmire by four points, a margin close enough for Hart to give the race a second shot. A new poll conducted for the Republican's campaign shows the rematch will be just as close.

The survey, conducted 8/17-18 by Public Opinion Strategies for Hart's campaign and the National Republican Congressional Committee, surveyed 400 likely voters for a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. Altmire and Hart were tester.

General Election Matchup Altmire.........49 Hart............44

Generic Dem.....40 Generic GOPer...37

McCain..........52 Obama...........39

Pennsylvania turned out to be one of the better states for Democratic pickups in 2006, but Republicans think they have serious opportunities in the Keystone State this year. And she'll have a tailwind provided by John McCain, who leads Barack Obama by a wider margin than the nine points by which President Bush won the district in 2004.

With Altmire so close to 50%, though, and in a significantly better financial position than he was in last cycle, when Hart outspent him more than two-to-one, Altmire's suburban Pittsburgh district will likely prove one of the GOP's tougher challenges.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Pennsylvania; Polls; U.S. Congress
KEYWORDS: electioncongress; mccainpalin

1 posted on 09/13/2008 7:50:30 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Kuksool; Norman Bates; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...

It’s important to remember that this is a poll for Hart’s campaign taken by a Republican polling firm, so it’s probably an outlier poll. Still, the race is competitive.


2 posted on 09/13/2008 7:52:12 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (If Islam conquers the world, the Earth will be at peace because the human race will be killed off.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

The attack ads in the 2006 campaign were quite vicious and ran on all the channels.


3 posted on 09/13/2008 7:56:20 PM PDT by Ciexyz
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To: Clintonfatigued

Let’s hope the top of the Republican ticket can pull some house and senate seats along.


4 posted on 09/13/2008 8:03:31 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: Clintonfatigued

Great news. I get the feeling there are only going to be a lot more of these close races. The Palin Effect is real.


5 posted on 09/13/2008 8:19:15 PM PDT by Maelstorm (This country was not founded with the battle cry "Give me liberty or give me a government check!")
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To: Clintonfatigued

This was a race we shouldn’t have lost to begin with. I still have my doubts we’ll reclaim it.


6 posted on 09/13/2008 8:32:46 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: Ciexyz; PennsylvaniaMom

“The attack ads in the 2006 campaign were quite vicious and ran on all the channels.”

I wonder if that will be the case again?


7 posted on 09/13/2008 9:24:12 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (If Islam conquers the world, the Earth will be at peace because the human race will be killed off.)
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