[2ndDivisionVet]

Sounds plausible.

[Cowboy Bob]

Since Obama and Hillary are raising so much money, I expect that Democrat Senate and Congressional candidates may have trouble raising some of their own.

Here is Tucson, we've got a Democrat Congresswoman in a Republican district. With McCain on the ticket, there is a good chance the Republican candidate for the seat will win (he is currently the State Senate President)

[ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas]

This article does not mention the fact that so many GOP congressmen are quitting.

Also, assume McCain wins. With a full-blown motgage crisis, $200/barrel oil, lost jobs, and the possibility that the war will continue or worsen, the voters could punish the GOP in 2010.

[LS]

Not to me. It's all about candidates. Where do you see really attractive GOP senate candidates who are going to take on the entrenched Dems? Who do you see beating Tim Johnson? Certainly the GOP has shown no guts whatsoever in exploiting his obvious medical issues. The guy in NM may have a chance, but it's only a chance. VA is probably a loss. LA seems like a pickup, but it's one of those states I don't count till I see the vote. Elsewhere, in Congress, we're gonna almost certainly lose one of the OH seats. Already lost the Henry Hyde seat.

Sorry, I don't see where McCain, even with a big victory, brings anything to the GOP table.

[LiveFree99]

So, now McCain is considered to be the favorite to win in November? Unless the economy improves dramatically and McQueeg starts treating the Democrats the same way he treats Republicans, either the Beast or Osama beats him easily.

[Grunthor]

Nightmare scenario; McBoob in the oval office and the Dems retaining control of one or both houses.

[deport]

Sounds plausible.

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How many seats did the winner candidate’s party have to defend in each of those years surveyed? I think this year the GOP has a very large number it is defending.

[SunkenCiv]

Given that the Democrats look determined to nominate the least experienced, the most far-left candidate they've ever nominated, I'm cautiously optimistic that McCain will win by 5 points or more, and that therefore, the Democrats will pick up one or two seats in the Senate and maybe a handful of seats in the House. (2010, on the other hand, may be a different story, especially if the recession continues). Of course, if Obama should win by a landslide, then Democratic dreams (like our dreams in those heady days of 2005) of a filibuster-proof majority may not be so vain. But come January 2009, expect a President McCain, with narrow Democratic margins in the House and Senate.

Note, "our dreams of a filibuster-proof majority" indicates the partisan nature of the writer.

[Mogollon]

Gas prices have risen $1.18/gal since the democRATS took over congress. The GOP needs to get busy and remind voters of this fact....it will result in a lot of rats being given the boot.