[AuH2ORepublican]

If former Congressman and former NAACP Chairman Kweisi Mfume beats Congressmna Ben Cardin in the Democrat Senate primary in Maryland, Republican Lt. Governor Michael Steele goes from being a slight underdog to the favorite in the general election. Electing a conservative Republican Senator from Maryland would be historic, and the fact that Steele happens to be black would make it even more momentous. Given that blacks comprise a bit over 40% of the Democrat primary electorate in Maryland, that there are like 8 white candidates seeking the nomination, and that MD doesn't have a run-off if the first-place finisher in the primary gets below 50%, I think Kweisi Mfume has a good shot of winning the primary with around 40% of the vote.

[AuH2ORepublican]

*MICHAEL STEELE PING*

Here's to Maryland Democrat primary voters feeling Kweisi enough to nominate Mfume!

[Do not dub me shapka broham]

Cardin is running a dog of a campaign.

They would have gotten better results running O'Malley for this seat, instead of allowing him to launch a gubernatorial campaign.

Something tells me that Cardin's political skills have atrophied.

Running in an overwhelmingly liberal, overwhelmingly white Dem. bastion for the past two decades isn't the best preparation for a highly competitive primary and/or general election.

[ForOurFuture]

Further down the page it is mentioned that the poll has 32% of likely Democrats viewing Ehrlich favorably. A very modest 40% of Dems view him disfavorably.

Does anyone recall what share of the Dem vote he got in '02? Is 32% enough?

While O'Malley has the nomination in the bag, it may yet get quite nasty between Duncan and he. A few desperate Hail Mary negative ads from Duncan would be a blessing.

I had the opportunity recently to speak to, if not the campaign manager per se, the de facto leader of the Ehrlich campaign. I gauged his awareness of the need for poll-watchers and whatever other defensive measures against vote fraud are feasible. I was impressed with his answer. The MD GOP is organizing a petition drive to put the veto-overridden early voting bill to a referendum. It is unclear whether the courts will allow it. The bill of course packs the early voting sites into heavily Democratic areas.

I am cautiously optimistic about both Ehrlich and Steele's chances. Maryland could be one of the most exciting places for a Republican to be this fall.

[ForOurFuture]

Further down the page it is mentioned that the poll has 32% of likely Democrats viewing Ehrlich favorably. A very modest 40% of Dems view him disfavorably.

Does anyone recall what share of the Dem vote he got in '02? Is 32% enough?

While O'Malley has the nomination in the bag, it may yet get quite nasty between Duncan and he. A few desperate Hail Mary negative ads from Duncan would be a blessing.

I had the opportunity recently to speak to, if not the campaign manager per se, the de facto leader of the Ehrlich campaign. I gauged his awareness of the need for poll-watchers and whatever other defensive measures against vote fraud are feasible. I was impressed with his answer. The MD GOP is organizing a petition drive to put the veto-overridden early voting bill to a referendum. It is unclear whether the courts will allow it. The bill of course packs the early voting sites into heavily Democratic areas.

I am cautiously optimistic about both Ehrlich and Steele's chances. Maryland could be one of the most exciting places for a Republican to be this fall.