Anything can happen. I'm for Campbell, as we need more CPA's in Congress.
I'm imagining that before this is over, we'll have a whoolleee bunch of candidates. After all, they have nothing to lose. They can run, and not be out of office since it's a special election.
Anyhow, I don't know anything about the local politics in the area (I may shortly, I'm moving to So Cal in a couple months), so in the meantime, let me just say "May the best man win!"