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While that is possible to be a repeat of 1994 it is not a guarantee. North was a lightning rod with whom a group of Republicans could not bring themselves to vote for, remember in the last week of the race Nancy Reagan all but killed any chance he had. Also the moderate/liberal Republican vote is up for grabs. In 2001 a good chunk of it went to Warner. These voters may have already decided not to vote for the Republican already but it gives them a place to go besides the Democrat Kaine, although his father in law, former GOP Gov Holton is making a run for them. Finally Potts appears to be running to the left of Kaine and it is possible that he could peel off some of that Dean crowd, which seems hell bent on punishing Democrats who do not agree with them.