[UCAL]

I also think it highly unlikely that Bowles had made up this much ground so quickly. I could understand a shift this large if Bush's numbers were tanking but these seem to have bottomed out lately and even risen slightly. Certainly, his NC numbers must be considerably higher than his national average. I have also not heard of any Burr gaffes or massive Bowles ad buys.

The poll in question could have been of North Carolina Adults or just Registered Voters. These samples tend to give the democrats an advantage over those that survey likely voters only.

If I remember correctly, several 2002 polls had the dems winning or very close in Senate races in North Carolina, New Hampshire, Colorado, South Carolina, Georgia and Minnesota. I'll have to check to see how these turned out!

[Kuksool]

The poll showing Bowles leading must be solely due to name ID. Remember, Bowles is still lingering in the minds of voters from last year's Senate race, while Burr is relatively unknown to NC voters outside Winston-Salem area. Once Burr starts running more ads and meets more people face to face, the NC electorate shall warm to him.

[TatieBug]

I remember we WON all of those Senate races that the D's were polling ahead or tied...Let's hope Bowles loses like he did last time...BIG.