Posted on 06/19/2002 1:18:53 PM PDT by Charles Henrickson
To help you vote, I checked the stats today and I'm listing the top four offensive players at each position. Here's the formula I used:
Total Bases + Net Stolen Bases + On-Base Percentage + Slugging Percentage = Total Offensive Points (TOP, a statistic I created today!)
* The asterisk marks my choice for starter.
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Catcher:
* Piazza 1012
Miller 971
LoDuca 926
Santiago 910
First Base:
* Helton 1235
Klesko 1056
Sexson 1035
D. Lee 1013
Second Base:
Spivey 1119
* Vidro 1040
Kent 977
Castillo 892
Shortstop:
* J. Hernandez 984
Rollins 887
Renteria 874
Furcal 848
Third Base:
* Lowell 1105
Houston 1046
Zeile 983
Alfonzo 924
Outfield:
* Bonds 1557
* Sosa 1262
Giles 1208
Walker 1182
* Green 1167
Edmonds 1152
Dunn 1141
Berkman 1134
Guerrero 1124
Burrell 1102
Gonzalez 1082
Floyd 1072
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Catcher:
Pierzynski 973
* Posada 955
D. Wilson 833
Varitek 826
First Base:
Sweeney 1180
* Giambi 1165
Thome 1131
Konerko 1106
Second Base:
* Soriano 1139
Kennedy 885
M. Young 845
Durham 834
Shortstop:
* A. Rodriguez 1180
Garciaparra 1022
Vizquel 1021
Tejada 988
Third Base:
Hinske 1052
* Chavez 1046
Hillenbrand 1030
Ventura 1021
Outfield:
Ordonez 1082
* Hunter 1079
Anderson 1053
* Suzuki 1043
* B. Williams 1011
Salmon 1010
Damon 997
Winn 986
J. Jones 972
Fick 968
Beltran 967
Gibbons 918
A few observations:
A first-place ranking at a position should not be the only factor in deciding who should start. You should also consider what, if anything, the guy has ever done before. For example, Junior Spivey has never done anything before, but Jose Vidro has been very good for several years, so I give the nod to Vidro at NL 2b. Likewise, at AL 3b, Eric Hinske is a newbie, so I am picking Eric Chavez.
This chart only considers offense. If certain players are much better defensively than others, you might put them ahead of those other players, even if they're behind them a little offensively.
Consider "bunching." If players are within 50 points of each other, that's close. For example, look at AL 3b. All four are within 31 points, so the #4 guy is not that far behind the #1 guy offensively. Or for the third NL OF, do you pick Giles, Walker, or Green--or do you go further down the list to Edmonds, Guerrero, or Gonzalez? You could make a case for each.
Go Diamondbacks! My team has dreary prospects for the next few years, may I borrow yours.
Freakin' Indians trade or lose every good player. (/screaming like a maniac)
Thought I was going to hemorrhage today with the Diamondbacks. Sheesh, what's going on? One last darn strike to end the 9th, and then a GRAND SLAM. I think I want to hide!
The NL was a little harder.
As far as Castillo, I cannot imagine not having him on the team after his streak. Spivey probably deserves that spot and, who knows, injuries might put on 3 second basemen, but I doubt it. I chose Rollins because his fielding stats are really good despite playing on turf. Remember that catcher substitutions are permitted in the All-Star game for injury.
Nice stat, but Bill James is still the king. :)
PS, I didn't take Colon's trade into account. I don't want to now!
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Catcher:
Mike Piazza, NYM
Damian Miller, ARI
First Base:
Todd Helton, COL
Richie Sexson, MIL
Second Base:
Jose Vidro, MON
Junior Spivey, ARI
Shortstop:
Jose Hernandez, MIL
Jimmy Rollins, PHI
Third Base:
Mike Lowell, FLA
Tyler Houston, MIL
Outfield:
Barry Bonds, SF
Sammy Sosa, CHC
Shawn Green, LA
Brian Giles, PIT
Larry Walker, COL
Vladimir Guerrero, MON
Luis Gonzalez, ARI
Jim Edmonds, STL
Lance Berkman, HOU
Pitcher:
Randy Johnson, ARI
Tom Glavine, ATL
Bartolo Colon, MON
Odalis Perez, LA
Matt Morris, STL
Curt Schilling, ARI
Eric Gagne, LA
Byung-Hyun Kim, ARI
Robb Nen, SF
Danny Graves, CIN
Trevor Hoffman, SD
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Catcher:
Jorge Posada, NYY
A. J. Pierzynski, MIN
First Base:
Jason Giambi, NYY
Mike Sweeney, KC
Paul Konerko, CWS
Second Base:
Alfonso Soriano, NYY
Shortstop:
Alex Rodriguez, TEX
Nomar Garciaparra, BOS
Omar Vizquel, CLE
Derek Jeter, NYY
Third Base:
Eric Chavez, OAK
Tony Batista, BAL
Outfield:
Torii Hunter, MIN
Ichiro Suzuki, SEA
Bernie Williams, NYY
Magglio Ordonez, CWS
Garret Anderson, ANA
Johnny Damon, BOS
Randy Winn, TB
Rob Fick, DET
Pitcher:
Derek Lowe, BOS
Mark Buehrle, CWS
Pedro Martinez, BOS
Roy Halladay, TOR
Barry Zito, OAK
Jamie Moyer, SEA
Eddie Guardado, MIN
Ugueth Urbina, BOS
Mariano Rivera, NYY
Kaz Sasaki, SEA
Now let's hear your rosters. We can discuss reasons for selections, omissions, just-misses, etc.
The All-Star Selection Show will be on ESPN Sunday at 7:00 (Eastern).
Of course, there will be the phantom hamstring injuries that will change this and there is that neat 30th man vote, which will fuel talk shows for a few days.
Here's a monkey wrench: Hillenbrand (MIN) is already going to be starting AL third baseman and Ramirez (BOS) is already in the AL outfield.
All in all, pretty good. Only one really wrong choice on either squad, and that was a fan-voted starter who narrowly edged out the deserving player at the NL's weakest position: Scott Rolen over Mike Lowell at 3b. Lowell was chosen as the back-up, so Rolen essentially knocked Tyler Houston or Todd Zeile or Edgardo Alfonzo off the squad, which was no great loss, since none of them has gotta-be-there credentials.
In the NL, there were six players named that I did not have on my roster: Rolen, Benito Santiago, Luis Castillo, Adam Dunn, John Smoltz, and Mike Williams. All are worthy except Rolen. Instead of those six, I had these seven players: Houston, Brian Giles, Larry Walker, Jim Edmonds, Bartolo Colon (the league-switch cost him), Robb Nen, and Danny Graves. Giles or Walker could still make the team as the 30th man, as could Andruw Jones, Ryan Klesko, or Albert Pujols. I will vote for either Giles or Walker, I'm not sure which yet.
In the AL, there were five players named that I did not have on my roster: Miquel Tejada (I had four shortstops with no back-up second baseman, Torre did the same thing, except he picked all five deserving shortstops), Shea Hillenbrand, Robin Ventura, Manny Ramirez, and Freddy Garcia. No bad choices there, but Ventura may be the weakest, and he kept my starter, Eric Chavez, off the team. Instead of those five, I had these six players: Chavez, Bernie Williams, Magglio Ordonez, Johnny Damon, Jamie Moyer, and Ugueth Urbina. Chavez, Ordonez, or Damon could still make the team as the 30th man, as could Jim Thome or Darin Erstad. I'll probably vote for Chavez or maybe Ordonez.
Of course, between now and July 9, we could see all sorts of mysterious injuries appear (that will somehow get better by July 11), so we could end up with all these guys making the teams, plus Delino DeShields.
Here are the rosters announced tonight:
NL All-Stars
Starters
C M. Piazza, Mets
1B T. Helton, Rockies
2B J. Vidro, Expos
3B S. Rolen, Phillies
SS J. Rollins, Phillies
OF S. Sosa, Cubs
OF B. Bonds, Giants
OF V. Guerrero, Expos
Reserves
C D. Miller, D-Backs
C B. Santiago, Giants
1B R. Sexson, Brewers
2B J. Spivey, D-Backs
2B L. Castillo, Marlins
SS J. Hernandez, Brewers
3B M. Lowell, Marlins
OF L. Berkman, Astros
OF L. Gonzalez, D-Backs
OF S. Green, Dodgers
OF A. Dunn, Reds
Pitchers
R. Johnson, D-Backs
C. Schilling, D-Backs
B. Kim, D-Backs
O. Perez, Dodgers
E. Gagne, Dodgers
M. Morris, Cardinals
T. Glavine, Braves
J. Smoltz, Braves
M. Williams, Pirates
T. Hoffman, Padres
AL All-Stars
Starters
C J. Posada, Yankees
1B J. Giambi, Yankees
2B A. Soriano, Yankees
3B S. Hillenbrand, Red Sox
SS A. Rodriguez, Rangers
OF I. Suzuki, Mariners
OF M. Ramirez, Red Sox
OF T. Hunter, Twins
Reserves
C A.J. Pierzynski, Twins
1B M. Sweeney, Royals
1B P. Konerko, White Sox
SS N. Garciaparra, Red Sox
SS M. Tejada, A's
SS D. Jeter, Yankees
SS O. Vizquel, Indians
3B T. Batista, Orioles
3B R. Ventura, Yankees
OF G. Anderson, Angels
OF R. Winn, Devil Rays
OF R. Fick, Tigers
Pitchers
M. Buerhle, White Sox
D. Lowe, Red Sox
P. Martinez, Red Sox
F. Garcia, Mariners
K. Sasaki, Mariners
B. Zito, A's
R. Halladay, Blue Jays
M. Rivera, Yankees
E. Guardado, Twins
Which is why you gotta have Jeff Kent at 2nd. He started slowly this year, but has been on fire the past month, and now has 13 HR and 52 RBI to go with a .316 BA.
Kent is one of only a handful of 2nd baseman to be league MVP, and he's on track to knock in 100 RBI for the 6th straight year.
How many 2nd baseman have ever done that before?
None.
Here's a comparison of rankings in the latest voting totals vs. the latest offensive statistics (based on Total Bases + Net Stolen Bases + On-Base Percentage + Slugging Percentage):
VOTING
1. Damon
2. Thome
3. Chavez
4. Ordonez
5. Erstad
OFFENSE
1. Thome
2. Ordonez
3. Chavez
4. Damon
5. Erstad
VOTING
1. Jones
2. Giles
3. Pujols
4. Walker
5. Klesko
OFFENSE
1. Walker
2. Giles
3. Pujols
4. Jones
5. Klesko
Of course, defense is not reflected here, so you could make a case for the higher vote totals for Damon and Jones, both good defensive center fielders. But Chavez is a Gold Glover at third, and some of these other guys are no slouches on defense, either. I think I'll vote for Thome and Giles, both of whom have a chance of making the team.
Giles is the clear choice in the NL. And in the AL, Thome got off to a real slow start while the Indians got buried in the standings. He has been great since, but a case can be made that his production has been less valuable than one would normally think by the numbers.
Thanks for this great thread, Charles. It's been fun.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.