Hurricane season 2025 could bring 18 tropical storms and an increase in major hurricanes (only 5.81 years left)

NY Post ^ | 3/27/25 | Shane Galvin

[fella]

Where’s the “Not this $#it again” meme?

[HYPOCRACY]

[HereInTheHeartland]

Same prediction. EVERY YEAR. Doom and gloom.
They will be right eventually, then it’s “we told you”

[dgbrown]

At some point they will be correct, simply because their average has declined so much over the last couple decades.

[Gil4]

That’s about how scientific it is - snake-eyes every time.

[Texas resident]

SWAG:

Scientific
Wild
Ass
Guess.

[hal ogen]

Then too the season could have no tropical storms. “Experts” laughed at at 6.

[Palio di Siena]

I know - read the 4’th paragraph again.
There is no ocean side of the panhandle- I’m in Destin right now and there ain’t no ocean outside - it’s the Gulf of America

[Pikachu_Dad]

Then they could have Said that !

[USAF1985]

“Experts”

The same “experts” that project numerous storms pre-hurricane season, then dial down the numbers mid-hurricane season, then dial down the numbers again at the end. Then, when the storm numbers finally pan out, they say: “See, we were right!” \s

[Damifino]

We live in the Keys. The only weather we pay attention to is "WindFinder" for boating/fishing planning and "NOAA Atlantic 7-Day Tropical Weather Outlook". NOAA shows you storms as they form off of Africa. You can follow their development/retrogression across the Atlantic. Most of them fizzle off or head N to die in cold water. Those that don't, we follow closely to see where they'll make landfall. We typically become first aware of a storm 10-days or more in advance of it arriving. Plenty of time to get out of Dodge if needed.

[Fury]

And every year before that, you me and some bum on the street could make an equally good prediction

And..... What's your point?

Isn't there ANY positive benefits to try and improve how hurricanes are forecast and detecting changing weather patterns?

[Fury]

Ugh, the anti-science posters flock to these threads like moths to a flame.

[VTenigma]

Every year, same same.

[Texas resident]

Yep. Spent most of my life on the Gulf Coast.
Every year is different.
Every storm is different.

We got a tropical storm years ago, not a hurricane, that shut down Houston for days. TS Allison.

[srmanuel]

It would be fine that was all they were doing, in general like most if not all Federal agencies are pushing a political agenda, I this case the frequency and intensity of hurricanes are increasing, with that in mind I stand on my original statement

[Retain Mike]

I found the link to this map with the individual hurricanes pinpointed that hit land at Free Republic. I decided to see if the upward sloping curve I have always heard about from the climate change people that indicates more extreme weather made any sense. Like everything else it doesn’t.

For anything as complex as weather, any single year or a couple consecutive years of events is just random. Grouping in ten-year segments seems to provide information.

173 Years of US Hurricane Strikes

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/4285273/posts

1851-60: 17

1861-70: 17

1871-80: 20

1881-90: 20

1891-00: 28

1901-10: 23

1911-20: 21

1921-30: 17

1931-40: 24

1941-50: 31

1951-60: 35

1961-70: 17

1971-80: 15

1981-90: 18

1991-00: 15

2001-10: 23

2011-20: 19

2021-24: 12

[packrat35]

Don’t we get this same prediction like every single year?

[bankwalker]

could ... or could not ...

[Mashood]

Maybe yes, maybe no, but definitely maybe.