I don’t believe the polls, but there’s no denying that the public has been seesawing between the parties since 2008.
So I still see Hillary winning as a really good possibility.
The GOP needs to get ahead of that. They have an enormous advantage right now because there’s a fissure within the Dem Party. On one side you have the Obamaphiles/true-believers and on the other you have the Hillaryphiles/pragmatics (yes I know Hillary is as much of an ideologue as Obama, but she does claim the support of the pragmatic side of the party).
Recall that in 2008 there was a belief that Hillary supporters were so pissed at Obama that they were going to stay home. PUMAs, for Party Unity My A**. But being that they were pragmatic, they ultimately held their noses and voted for Obama.
The situation presented by the GOP Congress is that they can start sending up popular bills that Hillary will support (since she has political skin in the game) but Obama will veto. And effectively pit the two against each other.
And Obamaphiles, being ideologues with a slavish devotion to their guy are going to take it personally. And, unlike the PUMAs, WON’T hold their noses come 2016.
So I don't think she is running.