Dem leaning polling turnout/party ID samples are zot bait

Vanity

[matginzac]

“...teeth mashing...”
I think you mean “teeth gnashing”...
Product of the govt school system.

[Ray76]

Romney is drawing 30,000 to rallies in Pennsylvania and Ohio, which is far more than Obama draws.

Pennsylvania and Ohio

[barmag25]

posting dem talking point BS is the reason FR is moving slow.

[ScottinVA]

Sounds to me the Dems are the ones fleeing in larger numbers to the indie ranks:

http://www.politico.com/blogs/charlie-mahtesian/2012/08/dem-registration-down-in-key-states-132150.html

[9YearLurker]

No, Gallup and Rasmussen are two pollsters who do extensive polling on party ID.

Most of the other polls do their polling and then weight the results based upon their assumptions as to the party ratio of those who will actually vote.

It is that latter group that is coming up with the big Democrat advantage—because they are putting it there.

Gallup, which does the biggest polling on party ID has reported a major swing to the GOP.

[Andrei Bulba]

Folks I’m sure we can debate polls forever. The poster gave us some info. The fact is we can win this election in part because many pollsters have Romney leading or tied. But some on here attacking every negative poll are being pollyannas as well.

[mplsconservative]

I saw a Prius in Minneapolis yesterday with a Romney/Ryan bumper sticker. That was a good omen for what’s coming tomorrow, that and Ryan drawing an overflow crowd of 10,000 at the MSP airport yesterday.

Bye-bye Barry!

[Mase]

George:

I'll go with Michael Barone. He knows what he's talking about, and you don't. If the polls were right in an election like this we'd be talking about things like Carter's disastrous second term and President Kerry.

The only poll that doesn't care about party affiliation had Romney up by 5 or six before they suspended polling. We'll know for sure tomorrow. See ya in two years.

[Hammerhead]

my thoughts exactly.

The ONLY way Obama wins is if there is an over the top to to point of becoming obvious voter fraud.

Repubs have to always win by 5%. Figure 2-3% fraud then enough to not force a recount - of which the Communists will win (always) by finding votes in the trunk of a 51’ Ford located in some barn out in the country somewhere.

[Nervous Tick]

>> Jim Cramer’s seriously suggesting Obama will pick up Georgia, Texas, Montana, South Dakota, Missouri, Indiana, and North Carolina.

Jim Cramer is one of my favorite prognosticators, because he is *reliably* wrong. You can literally take his predictions to the bank, as long as you invert ‘em first. :-)

[DJ MacWoW]

Bunk.

[LS]

Well, it is a big deal. This is like "global warming." It's either real, or it's not. Either one, some, or most of the pollsters are right, or one, some, or most are wrong.

So much of our political lives right now are shaped by "gee, what do other people think?" that when Romney wins, it must totally discredit these organizations as being part of the D machine.

[Revelation 911]

two posts since 07 - and a hit and run thread with no replies

- zot this clown please

[mplsconservative]

George N likes to post once every five years.

[scooby321]

Gallup Polled 7,000 LV and found GOP plus 3.

How many did you poll?

[swamprebel]

I recall many news articles from just before the 2010 midterm elections, about how the number of registered Democrats was dwindling, some places by as much as 30%, when you factor that with the poll samplings for a 2008 Democrat turn out, and sprinkle in the evangelicals (24 Million) who stayed home in 2008, I have to think another tsunami is in the making.

[count-your-change]

When the person that posted something doesn't comment or respond to comments I dismiss them as “troll” no matter the subject.

So off you go now.

[John Valentine]

This year it seems like laymen want to start weighting polls at their own whim.

I won't call you names for making this kind of ignorant statement.

Whatever you might think of them, Dick Morris and Michael Barone are NOT "laymen". They are professionals, and conducting, analyzing, and critiquing polling is what they do for a living.

So, how about you? What is YOUR professional background in statistics, polling, and political analysis?

Correct me if I'm wrong, but it seems like YOU are the layman in the room.

[John 3_19-21]

"I don't know why Republicans are less likely to ID as such this year."



Where have you been the last four years?

Most of us are voting against Obama not "for" a Republican.

The RNC is dead to most of us but the country is going to come alive tomorrow God willing.

It's no wonder the pols seeking Democrat and Republican affiliation show more D's than R's. Just wait and see where the Independants vote tomorrow.

For a little incite, Google Images the words; Chic-fil-A crowds.

[Admin Moderator]

At the risk of being an "Eeyore" and called a troll

I'll just call you "roadkill" instead.