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My calls --

Popular vote: Obama seems to have a floor of 45%, and while a total of 47% would be deliciously ironic, I don't think he gets that much. Romney 53-45 (with 2% "other").

Electoral vote: This could be a complete rout, but I'll go with Romney 338-200, which happens if Romney takes NV, CO, IA, MI, PA, OH, WI, NH, and 1 EV in Maine. I think I'm on the low side, as we may see one or more additional "surprises".

House/Senate: Not going to predict any specific outcomes, but I think Obama will have negative coat-tails as much as Romney has positive ones, leading to a decisive GOP victory on the night, with a few pockets of 'rat holdouts and ticket-splitters.

1 posted on 11/05/2012 5:45:54 AM PST by kevkrom
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To: kevkrom

OK...here’s my try at it.

Romney/Ryan wins, 52-46 in the popular vote, and with somewhere north of 300 electoral votes.

The Alphabets are forced to call it by midnight Eastern, although they’ll be VERY reluctant to do so.

For bonus points: Gain 6 seats in the House, 4 in the Senate.

In my own state of Washington: Sadly, Cantwell retains her Senate seat, Sec. of State McKenna turns the governor’s seat red, and in the major referendums & initiatives:

I-1185 (2/3 legislative vote or voter approval for tax/rate hikes)-PASS
I-502 (Legalization of marijuana)-FAIL
I-1240 (Charter Public Schools)-PASS
Ref 74 (Same-sex Marriage)-PASS (Not that I want it to, but based on everything I see and hear, barring a Red Sea-class miracle of Almighty God, this is going to pass. I voted NO.)


107 posted on 11/05/2012 7:01:04 AM PST by hoagy62 ("Tyranny, like hell, is not easily conquered..."-Thomas Paine. 1776)
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To: kevkrom

Popular Vote 52-47 Romney, 295 Electoral Votes, 51 Republicans in the Senate and a pick up of 8 House seats.


108 posted on 11/05/2012 7:01:09 AM PST by CPT Clay (Follow me on Twitter @Clay N TX)
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To: kevkrom

54%-45% PV (54.3-44.9 to be more specific)
396-142 EV
41 States for Mitt.

+10 House
+5 Senate


109 posted on 11/05/2012 7:04:27 AM PST by princeofdarkness ( Nobama. No more. No way. November 2012.)
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To: kevkrom

54%-45% PV (54.3-44.9 to be more specific)
396-142 EV
41 States for Mitt.

+10 House
+5 Senate


112 posted on 11/05/2012 7:15:28 AM PST by princeofdarkness ( Nobama. No more. No way. November 2012.)
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To: kevkrom

The world will end soon!


113 posted on 11/05/2012 7:18:12 AM PST by US_MilitaryRules (Unnngh! To many PDS people!)
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To: kevkrom

Romney win: 328/210 EV.


114 posted on 11/05/2012 7:21:55 AM PST by Gorilla44
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To: kevkrom
I've been predicting a Romney/Ryan margin of 10% since my August 15th blog, the day after Artur Davis endorsed Romney.

Since that time I have occasionally wavered to as low as 5%, but I will stick with my first specific results prediction made after the 1 st debate of RR-54%, OB-46%.

I affirmed that prediction in my November 3rd blog post:

Romney Landslide: You Read It Here First

Since that post, I have found several who were as bullish as I and said so even earlier than I.

Yeah, it's hubris, but I still have that gut feeling. The only hangup has been this Sandy business, but I am not convinced that it will influence voters significantly.
115 posted on 11/05/2012 7:23:20 AM PST by Sudetenland (Member of the BBB Club - Bye-Bye-Barry!!! President Barack "Down Low" Obama)
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To: kevkrom

Obama will be declared winner by networks (exceptions being Fox and Beck).

In the weeks to follow, massive vote fraud will be exposed.

Winner should be Romney. The big question will be, will Romney cede too soon to Obama?


116 posted on 11/05/2012 7:24:03 AM PST by The Bard (http://www.myfbc.com)
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To: kevkrom

I’m prepared to be tarred and feathered for this but as a scientist for over 15 years, I am going strictly by the data and putting my own desire and bias to the side.

Obama 294
Romney 244

It will be 303 Obama if he picks up Colorado but it’s too close to analyze objectively.

Obama will get popular vote by 1.8%

We will still retain a solid house majority though, so take heart, 2014 is just around the corner to get more. Senate will be 54-46 when you count independents caucusing with Dems.


117 posted on 11/05/2012 7:26:08 AM PST by jackmercer
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To: kevkrom

Assuming no state that went for the GOP in 2008 switches, that at least 60% of the republican voters who voted for “The One” come home, we continue our hold on indies and figuring in my own Bristol on DWTS poll I believe Mitt wins 52% of the popular vote and around 300-310 EV.


118 posted on 11/05/2012 7:27:03 AM PST by redangus
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To: kevkrom

I made a mathematical error. I posted EVs in the range of 425-458, but what I meant was 325-358. Sorry. Still Romney with 53%, as stated int he earlier post.


120 posted on 11/05/2012 7:29:23 AM PST by Shery (in APO Land)
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To: kevkrom

Romney-Ryan 52-45% 332-377 EVs. GOP Senate +8-10 seats House +5-12 seats.


122 posted on 11/05/2012 7:58:50 AM PST by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: kevkrom

If Romney wins PA and OH, I suspect that it will be a full blown ROUTE with Romney winning over 300 EV’s.

House: Rep +6
Senate: Rep +5


123 posted on 11/05/2012 8:00:01 AM PST by ExTxMarine (PRAYER: It's the only HOPE for real CHANGE in America!)
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To: kevkrom

Bishop Willard will lead in the popular vote, 47.8% to 47.2% with 5% wasted votes.

UN observers will mandate recounts in a dozen or more states. Regiments of pre-positioned Leftist lawyers will descend upon the recount centers in support.

The MSM will provide support in the form of selective reporting, Leftist talking points, targeted media blackouts and manufactured crises.

Cities will burn, or be threatened to be burned, if Odinga is not announced the winner of the popular vote.

No one will know what the outcome of the election is on November 6th, or 7th, or even 17th. The final decision will not take place until after Thanksgiving with the EV’s certified by dubious means.

After numerous recounts, lawsuits, unchallenged nationwide vote fraud, and multiple urban centers ablaze resulting in a modest but unreported body count, Odinga will be reinstalled as Preezy.

With no reelection to reduce his “flexibility”, Odinga will conduct “payback” and “revenge” on all those who opposed him.

The MSM will proclaim that Odinga now has “a clear mandate from the people”, and he will run with the ball doing end runs around Congress and the Constitution without challenge from an opposition party already willingly complicit in the march of Socialism. All down-ticket races are irrelevant.

We shall re-experience Florida 2000, with side helpings of ‘68 Watts, ‘77 New York, ‘92 Los Angeles, and 2005 New Orleans, with a heavy dash of 2011 London.

Oh, and Freerepublic will remain offline.


125 posted on 11/05/2012 8:27:16 AM PST by Old Sarge (We are officially over the precipice, we just havent struck the ground yet...)
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To: kevkrom

Romney 301

Ohio doesn’t matter. Minnesota puts him over 270 before Ohio finishes the count.

52-47


126 posted on 11/05/2012 8:46:19 AM PST by Hessian (Time flies like an arrow, fruit flies like a banana.)
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To: kevkrom

I predict a rout...

Romney/Ryan win popular vote 53%-46%
ECV 322 (could go as much as 359) for Romney/Ryan
Senate +9 for GOP, giving GOP 56 seats
House +4 for GOP, giving GOP 246 seats

We will know enough of this by 10 pm est to feel good about breaking out the good stuff on which we have already been sipping, and the armies of DIM lawyers waiting to challenge and demand recounts will have gone home to drown in their sorrows. A rout!


127 posted on 11/05/2012 8:46:34 AM PST by GGpaX4DumpedTea (I am a Tea Party descendant...steeped in the Constitutional Republic given to us by the Founders.)
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To: kevkrom

Romney 301

Ohio doesn’t matter. Minnesota puts him over 270 before Ohio finishes the count.

52-47


128 posted on 11/05/2012 8:46:45 AM PST by Hessian (Time flies like an arrow, fruit flies like a banana.)
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To: kevkrom

Romney 301

Ohio doesn’t matter. Minnesota puts him over 270 before Ohio finishes the count.

52-47


129 posted on 11/05/2012 8:46:59 AM PST by Hessian (Time flies like an arrow, fruit flies like a banana.)
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To: kevkrom

My predictions -

We will have victory tomorrow. It will be an early night, landslide for Romney (over 300 electoral votes). Not predicting Romney’s percentage but I think Obama will get 43% of the vote. Low turnout overall, black turnout historically low. We will take the senate and pick up some more house seats as well. The new bubble which I have dubbed - The Poll Bubble - will burst. There will be more talk about how wrong the polls were and why than the election itself. Dems will say Romney will have no mandate because turnout was low. I predict Obama will get only 3 to 5 states. Michigan will go red this year. Plus there will be some northeast state surprises - going red. Watch the exit polling, that’s where people will vent. Wednesday starts the next 4 years or hard work. We will win tomorrow because God is merciful and we have suffered enough and shown Him that we are deserving to keep our republic. Obama will be brought up on charges of treason eventually,specifically due to Libya, if we can get rid of McConnell and Boehner as leaders. Moochelle will be happy in Hawaii. MSNBC’s conga line of freaks will be taken away by men in white suits. We are planning a super bowl type buffet and will be celebrating.


130 posted on 11/05/2012 9:25:45 AM PST by MomwithHope (Buy and read Ameritopia by Mark Levin!)
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To: kevkrom
"Lock In"   ? ?

LOL .. been tryin' to tell y'all for months :


                                                                   300 +

             

132 posted on 11/05/2012 12:06:13 PM PST by tomkat ( PAlabama '12 = RR = 300 +)
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