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To: Dan from Michigan
Actually, only part of Scio is included in the 7th district, the rest is in Dingell's 15th. I have to assume that the portion of Scio in the 15th is the more heavily RAT part of town, so perhaps Bush's margin in the 7th's portion of Washtenaw was a bit higher than you indicated. But you're correct in pointing out that, except for Scio and Sylvan, all the other Washtenaw townships in the 7th voted for Bush.

But the Gore margin must have been higher than 1,021 in Calhoun County, since a couple of Republican townships were added to Upton's 6th CD. All told, the 6th CD gave Bush 51% of the vote, not quite enough to make it a safe district. As I've stated before, the much-vaulted GOP redistricting plan was not truly optimal.

That being said, I hope we get a candidate who can appeal to voters throughout the district, not just in one candidate. The minister sounds promnising in that regard.
5 posted on 09/16/2003 12:34:34 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice, moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue.)
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To: AuH2ORepublican
According to Politics1, one dem announced. - Albert Widner (D) - Jackson County School Superintendent & Educator. - I never heard of him.

My guess is that the more rat part(the Ann Arbor border) is in Dingell's district. However, most of the rest of Washtenaw is marginal anyway. DeRossett won by the skin of his teeth last time(although I think he has Ann Arbor Township in his state rep district). The GOP calhoun townships will balance it out.(although I don't know which ones they are - probably marginal if near Battle Creek)

If the dem isn't Schauer or Doug Spade, this one is over before it starts. I don't think Spade will pull off the win. His brother ran for state senate, won Lenawee and got crushed out west(although it's a solid GOP seat because of that) in Branch, Hillsdale, and St Joseph counties. Schauer however held his own in Jackson against Mortimer and won BIG in Calhoun.

Bisbee's gun votes will cost him big throughout the district. Especially Eaton and Calhoun. Schauer ran as a "pro-gun dem"(talk) in 96 or 98 against an anti-gun GOP'er and won. I do expect business to line up behind Bisbee though. He's been great to them.

I wish I knew more about Walberg. It's been a few years since he was in office, and they still seem to like him in his area if the poll numbers are even remotely accurate. I don't know is 2a stance, but Lenawee is a big gun area. I have to wonder one thing. If Walberg's a minister, will that matter with the Catholic vote? I don't THINK it will in the general, because I think in this day in age, many Catholics would be happy just to see a Christian in office.

This is going to be an interesting race to say the least.

6 posted on 09/16/2003 2:06:32 PM PDT by Dan from Michigan (There are two things in the middle of the road. Roadkill, and a yellow stripe.)
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