The good news is that Schwarz so far has not decided to run. Schwarz is an uberRINO. He was McCain's campaign manager in Michigan. He's extremely anti-gun and extremely pro-abort. He called those that support CCW 'bubbas that strap on a 9mm' and said there is no individual right to keep and bear arms(Even Granholm said there was). He also backed tax increases to get out of a defecit. He's WORSE than both Schauer(whose terrible) and Spade, the two dems that could pose a threat. If I lived in that district, I would not vote for Schwarz, period, even with the balance of power in the house close and the committee votes. I would be voting third party or leaving it blank. A lot of people would refuse to vote for Schwarz and will switch to a Spade(a C), or even Schauer(D- over an F-) based on gun issues. I don't know if Spade's pro-life or not, I think Schauer is NOT.
Schwarz is a doctor from Battle Creek and his state senate district also covered Eaton County. He also recently ran against Posthumus for governor and got whopped by 40-50 pts in the primary. That's the likely advantage he has.
By the numbers
Eaton County(all) - 49272 voters - Bush won by 1592, 50%(Granholm won it)
Jackson County(all) - 61946 - Bush won by 3906 - 52%
Calhoun County - 55080(approx) - Gore won by 1447 - 50%(Two GOP townships in another district)
Branch County - 15783 - Bush won by 2052 - 55%
Hillsdale County - 17473 - Bush won by 3988 - 60%
Lenawaee County - 40093 - Bush by 2316(dem state rep) - 52%
Washtenaw County(approx) - 42548 - Bush by 2214 - 51% (Most bad areas in Dingell's district)
Areas Gore won(Bush won all the rest)
Eaton:
Lansing(part) by 1004 - 78%
Eaton Rapids by 326 - 50%
Jackson:
Jackson City by 2172 - 58%
Leoni Township by 229 - 51%
Calhoun:
Albion by 1238 - 70%
Battle Creek by 1718 - 53%
Bedford Township by 328 - 53%
Springfield by 280 - 57%
Lenawee:
Adrian City by 821 - 54%
Clinton Township by 25 - 49%
Washtenaw:
Scio Township (part?) by 870 - 53%
Sylvan Township by 25 - 48%
Bush won the rest.
The only thing Concord is known for is Ted Nugent. Very small area. I doubt he's even well known in the city of Jackson nearby.