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Midterms victory could set up Democrats to fail in 2028
Unherd ^ | March 26, 2026 | Michael Baharaeen

Posted on 03/26/2026 7:26:08 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

On Tuesday night, Democrats in Florida flipped a Republican-held seat in Senate District 14 and another in House District 87 — home to President Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence. The latter was an especially impressive result, as HD-87 voted for Trump by an 11-point margin in 2024. These wins brought the Democrats’ total state-legislative flips during the President’s second term up to 12.

They also provide the latest evidence that a “blue wave” is building ahead of the November midterm elections. Across all special elections held since the start of 2025, the average swing has been a massive 14 points toward Democrats. For context, at this same point during Trump’s first term the average swing was 11 points in their favor.

Looking at the big picture, Democrats have a lot to be optimistic about going into the midterms. They not only cleaned up in the major off-year elections of 2025, but also benefited from a powerful historical tailwind: the president’s party is almost always punished by voters in November.

These tend to be steeper when the incumbent is unpopular and economic expectations are poor (and expected to get worse). Moreover, betting markets not only overwhelmingly favor Democrats to win back the House of Representatives, but their chances of reclaiming the Senate have shot up from just 25% in November to almost 50–50 today.

(Excerpt) Read more at unherd.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
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1 posted on 03/26/2026 7:26:08 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

Some say they’re done either way. That makes sense


2 posted on 03/26/2026 7:29:28 PM PDT by stanne
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To: MinorityRepublican

In your excerpt, why don’t you include anything from the main part of the headline: “Could set up Democrats to fail in 2028”? Again, just posting the bad news.


3 posted on 03/26/2026 7:44:29 PM PDT by norcal joe
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To: MinorityRepublican

Not likely. If they win the midterms, the damage they’re able to do before 2028 will ensure that no safeguards will exist to prevent them from rigging/stealing the election for the Presidency, which they may actually snag before then by nuking the filibuster, then changing the rules/laws regarding impeachment to guarantee their ability to remove both Trump and Vance, and thereby moving the at-that-point Democrat Speaker into the Oval Office.

We can not afford to lose the midterms.


4 posted on 03/26/2026 7:48:53 PM PDT by william clark (A man who is unwilling to be proven wrong has little regard for truth.)
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To: william clark

We are openly talking about them stealing the


5 posted on 03/26/2026 8:26:33 PM PDT by FreeperCell
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To: william clark

The senate cant change the two thirds vote to convict on impeachment.


6 posted on 03/26/2026 8:39:25 PM PDT by neverbluffer
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To: MinorityRepublican

Maybe the human population is just too stupid to survive. And it is basically over for humanity.


7 posted on 03/26/2026 8:57:38 PM PDT by Revel
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To: MinorityRepublican

Not sure Americans will put up with 6 more impeachments in 2 years.


8 posted on 03/26/2026 9:55:13 PM PDT by ModelBreaker
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