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Oil Prices Could Push the 2027 Social Security COLA Above 3.5% and Here’s Why
https://retire.ly ^ | March 18 2026 | Motley Fool

Posted on 03/20/2026 12:54:35 PM PDT by Beowulf9

Oil prices have risen to more than $100 a barrel amid escalating conflict with Iran, pushing fuel prices up by more than 20% in just one month. Of course, this is bad news for U.S. consumers. But could it be good news for retirees?

The latest estimates from the Senior Citizens League call for a 2.8% Social Security COLA in 2027 — the exact same raise beneficiaries received this year. But this estimate was made before the Iran situation disrupted global oil supplies. And there’s a chance it could make the 2027 COLA much higher.

(Excerpt) Read more at retire.ly ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Politics
KEYWORDS: cola; oil; retirees; socialsecurity; ssadeficit

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1 posted on 03/20/2026 12:54:35 PM PDT by Beowulf9
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To: Beowulf9

Remember all the hand wringing with Biden’s gas prices and COL?


2 posted on 03/20/2026 12:55:43 PM PDT by Skywise
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To: Beowulf9

Trump: ‘I don’t want to do a ceasefire’ in Iran war just came out so $200 a barrel is not unthinkable...


3 posted on 03/20/2026 1:01:22 PM PDT by dpetty121263
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To: dpetty121263

“so $200 a barrel is not unthinkable..”

Not realistic.


4 posted on 03/20/2026 1:08:51 PM PDT by TexasGator ("1/1.'1/11.1II11.X11111.1~I11:/)
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To: TexasGator

Very realistic as this young war spirals out of control...


5 posted on 03/20/2026 1:20:59 PM PDT by dpetty121263
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To: dpetty121263

“Very realistic as this young war spirals out of control...”

Not spiraling out of control.


6 posted on 03/20/2026 1:23:15 PM PDT by TexasGator ("1/1.'1/11.1II11.X11111.1~I11:/)
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To: dpetty121263

Doesn’t look to me like it’s out of control. They are taking out who needs to be taken out.


7 posted on 03/20/2026 1:24:05 PM PDT by roving
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To: Beowulf9

Oil prices safer than what the alternative was.


8 posted on 03/20/2026 1:24:46 PM PDT by Vaduz (NEVER TRUST A DEMOCRAT)
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To: Beowulf9

... which will affect interest on the debt.

Taking out Iran is vital from a long-term standpoint.

But politicians’ piling on more and more amounts of debt is not too good for the long-term.


9 posted on 03/20/2026 1:33:52 PM PDT by plain talk
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To: Beowulf9

I’m so sick of hearing about oil prices. It’s a minor blip in the grand scheme of things.


10 posted on 03/20/2026 1:54:04 PM PDT by Kleon
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To: Beowulf9

oh wow! 3.5% …..give me a break …..


11 posted on 03/20/2026 1:57:54 PM PDT by wardamneagle
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To: TexasGator

I’d agree.

But I think $150 is even money at this point and I might consider a straight-up bet at 170-180.


12 posted on 03/20/2026 1:59:07 PM PDT by Capn Hayek (Capital is not responsible for Labor's lack of planning)
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To: Kleon

Its the Trump haters or rapid anti war bitches here on FR, who keep bringing that up.


13 posted on 03/20/2026 2:16:23 PM PDT by packrat35 (“When discourse ends, violence begins.” – Charlie Kirk, and they killed him anyway)
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To: Beowulf9

So it will increase before it disappears? Lovely.

Not enough to keep up with the Mediscare premiums though.


14 posted on 03/20/2026 2:23:23 PM PDT by Sequoyah101 (Opinions and belly buttons, everybody has one and they get to show them if they want to.)
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To: Sequoyah101

Inflation feeds Inflation. What a hungry beast.


15 posted on 03/20/2026 2:24:53 PM PDT by spintreebob
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To: Capn Hayek

“But I think $150 is even money at this point and I might consider a straight-up bet at 170-180.”

You would be betting with Iran and against Trump.

Iran would have to pull out a nuke to spike prices that high.


16 posted on 03/20/2026 2:26:37 PM PDT by TexasGator ("1/1.'1/11.1II11.X11111.1~I11:/)
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To: Beowulf9
Today is the first day of spring. There are many months until 2027. I trust President Trump.

17 posted on 03/20/2026 2:29:38 PM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie ( O give thanks unto the Lord, for He is gracious, and his mercy endures forever. — Psalm 106)
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To: spintreebob

Yup. Makes no sense at all. A nine line free fall circle jerk.


18 posted on 03/20/2026 2:33:09 PM PDT by Sequoyah101 (Opinions and belly buttons, everybody has one and they get to show them if they want to.)
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To: Beowulf9

Even without the oil increase, 3.5% isn’t nearly enough. Can’t we borrow a few billion from the Somalis in Minnesota and pay our seniors?


19 posted on 03/20/2026 2:46:56 PM PDT by montag813
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To: roving

With any War Boots on the Ground are what wins them.


20 posted on 03/20/2026 2:48:54 PM PDT by dpetty121263
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