Iranians Celebrate On Streets - IRGC Lose Control - Huge Missile Attack On Israel

Tousi TV ^ | 18/3/27 | Mahyar Tousi

[Eleutheria5]

People out in streets doing fire festival, shouting Javid Shah, regime warned that anyone in streets will get shot, and IRGC Basij have shot people, and IDF has droned a lot of the IRGC Basij, and people celebrate boisterously regardless. Ayatollahs dropping cluster warheads on Israel, destroying and killing, but not all that much. Lots of interceptors intercepting.

Live films where it's happening.

[Eleutheria5]

Scaring my wife, but not so much anymore.

[V_TWIN]

Sir, I’m assuming you are there.

If so, my prayers for you and your families continued safety.

🙏

[GOPJ]

Prayers for the brave Iranian people...

And will the CIA please put out a manual for organizing so Iranians know the best techniques to take their country back after 47 years of evil rule.

[gibsonguy]

“And will the CIA please put out a manual for organizing so Iranians know the best techniques to take their country back“

Well, you are assuming something that may not be true.

[allendale]

Identifying and doxing as many goons as possible, creating lists of people who will be held accountable by the people will create fear, reluctance and even desertion among the goons. Publish the lists on the internet for all to know and to serve as a reference.

[larrytown]

Indeed - dancing in the streets is one mindset, doing some organizing and planning of ambushes to get some weaponry is a different one.

[grobdriver]

Ayatollahs dropping cluster warheads on Israel

Find them and kill them.

[SaxxonWoods]

Another take on the festivities:

Mick Moore
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Follow
March 15 at 12:59 PM
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𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐖𝐀𝐑 𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐂𝐀𝐌𝐄𝐑𝐀𝐒 𝐀𝐑𝐄𝐍’𝐓 𝐒𝐇𝐎𝐖𝐈𝐍𝐆 𝐘𝐎𝐔
Three cargo ships hit near the Strait of Hormuz. A Thai bulk carrier burning. A Japanese container vessel tagged. Every pundit on television is asking the same question: is Iran winning?
They are looking at the wrong scoreboard.
𝐇𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐧𝐮𝐦𝐛𝐞𝐫 𝐧𝐨𝐛𝐨𝐝𝐲 𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐚𝐥𝐤𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐚𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐭. Day one: over 400 ballistic missiles, over 700 drones. Every launcher active. Every magazine emptied. The full 40-year output of the Islamic Republic, fired in a single day. Day ten: 40 missiles. 60 drones. A reduction of more than 90%.
The Supreme Leader is still calling for total war. The IRGC commander is still threatening American forces. The rhetoric has not declined by a single decibel.
𝐎𝐧𝐥𝐲 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐰𝐞𝐚𝐩𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞.
Pundits ask tactical questions. How do we stop the fast boats? How do we protect the tankers? How do we clear the mines? Those are the questions of people who have never read an engineering textbook.
Engineers ask a different question: 𝐰𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐝𝐢𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐨𝐬𝐞 𝐰𝐞𝐚𝐩𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐞 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐟𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲 𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠?
The answer is rubble.
This is not a war of fast boats and burning tankers. This is a war between consumption and production. And there are only two numbers that matter: how fast Iran is burning through its stockpile, and how fast it can manufacture replacements. When the first number permanently exceeds the second, the war is over. Everything after that is just the clock running out.
Iran understood asymmetric warfare better than most. A $50,000 fast boat against a $2 billion destroyer — that exchange ratio wins every time at the tactical level. Iran calculated that America didn’t have enough interceptors to stop every drone, enough missiles to sink every fast boat. 𝐓𝐡𝐞𝐲 𝐰𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐫𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭. At the tactical level, the math was perfect.
But America is not fighting at the tactical level. America is fighting at the industrial level.
In 1943, Germany built the best tank on earth — the Tiger I. Superior in every one-on-one engagement. America did not try to out-engineer it. America built 49,000 Shermans against 1,400 Tigers. The Tiger was a masterpiece. The Sherman was a production line. 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐞 𝐰𝐨𝐧.
Now look at the map. Shahrood — one of Iran’s most critical missile complexes, responsible for the solid-fuel rocket motors that power its longest-range ballistic missiles. Solid-fuel assembly requires specialized chemistry, controlled atmospheres, and production infrastructure that takes years to build. Satellite imagery confirms extensive destruction. That line is gone.
Parchin — the military complex housing Iran’s solid propellant production facilities. Hit. Khojir — the IRGC’s primary center for surface-to-surface missile development, on the outskirts of Tehran. Hit. Shahed Aviation Industries in Isfahan — the factory that built the Shahed-series drones Iran exported to Russia and launched against Israel. Hit.
A ballistic missile is not one weapon. It is a convergence of four independent systems: solid fuel, metal casing, guidance package, and a transporter erector launcher. You do not need to destroy all four. You need to destroy the hardest one to replace. The replacement timeline for solid-fuel production infrastructure is not months. 𝐈𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐲𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐬.
The fast boat equation is harder — and we will be honest about it. The IRGC operates more than 1,500 fast attack craft. Small, cheap, built from fiberglass hulls and outboard engines. You cannot destroy them the way you destroy a missile factory because there is no single factory. There are hundreds of sheds along Iran’s coastline. 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐩𝐚𝐫𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐞𝐪𝐮𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐟𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐬𝐨𝐥𝐯𝐞𝐝.
But the hull is not the weapon. The weapon is the anti-ship missile mounted on it. And those missiles are manufactured at the same facilities in Isfahan and Parchin that are now wreckage. A fast boat without its missile is a fishing vessel with a machine gun. A fishing vessel with a machine gun does not close a strait.
Now address the question every viewer is already thinking. Three ships still got hit. Why?
Because those ships were not under American escort. They were not ordered through by CENTCOM. They entered the strait on their own — against warnings, against intelligence advisories, against every flag that corridor was still a k!ll zone. The shipping companies looked at the war risk premium, a quarter million dollars per transit, looked at the price of crude, and gambled.
𝐓𝐡𝐫𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐦 𝐥𝐨𝐬𝐭.
The United States Navy did not gamble. Because one mine under an Arleigh Burke means $89.5 million in repairs and sailors evacuated to Germany — that is not a hypothetical, that is the USS Samuel B. Roberts in 1988, one $1,500 contact mine that broke the keel and flooded two compartments.
One torpedo from a midget submarine means a $2 billion ship and 300 sailors. For one transit.
The shipping companies were impatient. We were not. Because we do not need to solve the equation 𝐢𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐝𝐞 the strait.
We are solving it 𝐨𝐮𝐭𝐬𝐢𝐝𝐞 — at the source. Every night, another assembly line goes dark. Every week, the stockpile shrinks. Every month, the threat inside the strait decreases — not because we cleared it with escorts, but because the enemy is running out of things to shoot.
Iran believed cheap weapons would always defeat expensive ones.
At the tactical level, that was true. But America did not fire Tomahawks at fast boats. America bolted a $20,000 GPS guidance kit onto a $4,000 bomb and dropped it on the factories that built every weapon Iran owns. A $25,000 package erased decades of investment.
Admiral Cooper said it plainly: since the first 24 hours, Iranian missile and drone attacks have dropped drastically. He did not say Iran 𝐜𝐡𝐨𝐬𝐞 to stop. He said the attacks 𝐝𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐩𝐞𝐝.
Iran is not exercising restraint. Iran is running out of things to shoot.
Industrial warfare has only one outcome. The side that cannot rebuild, loses. The enemy does not surrender because the bombs stop falling. The enemy surrenders because the factories stop producing, the warehouses go empty, and the last missile in the last launcher is the last missile that will ever be built.
𝐓𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐟𝐢𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫.
𝐓𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐮𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐜𝐚𝐥𝐜𝐮𝐥𝐮𝐬.

[SaxxonWoods]

Here’s some other people celebrating in the streets:

https://www.facebook.com/reel/1500520698436247

[logi_cal869]

!!!

[Alas Babylon!]

Were all three ships hit in the Strait of Hormuz? No.

Only one of the three was close enough to be considered “in” or “at the mouth of” the Strait. The other two were well outside the strait in the broader Gulf region.

All three occurred within a few hours of each other on March 11, 2026.

This was a coordinated strike wave, not random incidents.

However, there have been no hits on any ships in the past 7 days.

Are the Iranians suddenly holding back?

Perhaps. The Chinese are still shipping and they might have told the Iranians to back off.

Or maybe the continuous raid from the air have destroyed enough launchers/missiles/shooters/warehouses/command and control facilities, etc., etc.

[Hegemony Cricket]

Great analysis

[plain talk]

Prayers for your family Eleutheria5 as I know you are in harms way.

[Wallace T.]

The question arises: if the Iranians are burning down their weapons supplies and if we are destroying their manufacturing capacity and military bases, are they being resupplied by China, Russia, and North Korea? These countries have a stake in keeping the Iranians in the war, and the Iranians are letting Chinese vessels into the Persian Gulf. Iran has long land borders with Afghanistan, Turkmenistan, and Azerbaijan. The Chinese have been busy in their infiltration of Central Asia with their Belt and Road initiative. The Persian Gulf is a primary source of oil and natural gas for China. The CCP would not want the Persian Gulf to become an American lake. Russia was incapable of protecting their stake in Syria after the Turkish and Israeli invasion that toppled the Assad regime. While they are tied down in Ukraine, they feel threatened by the Western nations.

[Dick Bachert]

GUY MILLER 3 18 26 ISLAM HERE?? SURELY YOU JEST??

New York Post reports that Democratic People’s Republic of California legislators are pushing to make Mohammedan “holy days” state holidays.  "AB 2017 would designate Eid al-Fitr and Eid al-Adha as state holidays,” a move to make California’s unassimilated Mohammedan population feel more at home like the shithole countries they fled. ***********

Birth defects and impaired cognitive and physical development among offspring of Mohammedan “close relative” [ie, half sibling or first cousin] marriages are causing a tremendous burden on the United Kingdom National Health Service.  In response, they are now advertising for counselors to advise prospective spouses on the dangerous effects of such traditional marriages. Especially in Pakistani communities, IQ is so low that the education system is incapable of teaching children unable to learn.  Inbreeding, customary in Mohammedan tribal societies, causes progressive deterioration of intellect with each generation.  That’s how they did it in the Stone Age, and still do. ************

PJ Media reports that Zohran Mamdani is outraged that repeated terrorist attacks by jihadist Mohammedans leads to people discussing the news.  It is “Islamophobia,” he insists, to refer to Islamic terrorists as Islamic terrorists.  Just because they try to blow up people doesn’t make them criminals, in the famous words of Jasmine Crockett.

Semper fi.

[Eleutheria5]

They still have no shortage of thugs with guns, scimitars, ramming vehicles and truncheons. Some of them are getting droned. Some of the people celebrating have their own weapons and know how to use them. But they can still cause a lot of harm. The Iranian people’s main weapon is courage.

[Eleutheria5]

“While they are tied down in Ukraine, they feel threatened by the Western nations.”

Russia has land mass, a beautiful countryside and architecture, oil and gas, wheat, very few warm water ports, and a FUBAR society. Too many years of war and oppression, not in that order.

[silverleaf]

Thanks

[The FIGHTIN Illini]

May not be 100% correct but most thoughtful analysis I’ve seen so far.

Well done, Saxxon 👍

[ChessExpert]

Not sure the CIA is willing or able.