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Mark Carney Is Trapped: Why Canada Cannot Agree to Trump’s Trade Demands
Vanity | October 29, 2025 | The Hermit

Posted on 10/29/2025 7:56:56 AM PDT by CIB-173RDABN

Mark Carney Is Trapped: Why Canada Cannot Agree to Trump’s Trade Demands

By The Hermit

The American media often portrays trade negotiations as a personal contest of wills: Donald Trump versus Mark Carney. But that framing misses the central truth of Canada’s political system. Unlike the President of the United States, who holds executive authority independently of Congress, Mark Carney is not a singular decision-maker. He is the product — and the prisoner — of Canada’s parliamentary system, its coalition politics, its regional power blocs, and its economic dependency on trade policies designed to benefit Canada at the direct expense of the United States.

President Trump is negotiating from a position of constitutional clarity and national interest. Mark Carney, however, is negotiating from a box built by political constraints, special interest coalitions, and decades of economic policy built on unfair trade advantages. He does not refuse Trump’s terms because he will not agree. He refuses because he cannot agree.


1. The Parliamentary Trap: Carney Doesn’t Govern, His Coalition Does

Canada is not governed by a president accountable to a national electorate. It is governed by a prime minister who serves only with the ongoing permission of Parliament. No single party in modern Canadian politics wins an outright majority. Governments are formed through coalitions with smaller parties representing narrow regional or ideological interests — environmental extremists, Quebec nationalists, or labor unions, to name a few.

Carney’s survival depends on these factions. He must consult, appease, and bargain with them on every major decision. Any significant policy shift — such as granting Trump equal trade status, removing tariff protections, or eliminating subsidies — risks collapsing his coalition and triggering a vote of no confidence. In Canada, the prime minister does not fall in the next election — he can fall next week.

2. Government Captured by Urban Interests and Special Interests

Canada is geographically vast but politically controlled by a handful of population centers, particularly the province of Ontario. This centralized power grants outsized influence to urban voters, financial elites, and large corporations headquartered in Toronto and Montreal. Western provinces — such as Alberta and Saskatchewan — produce Canada’s wealth through oil, agriculture, and mining, but they are politically marginalized.

At the same time, special interest groups wield more power in Canada than ordinary citizens. Campaign financing, political appointments, and regulatory influence flow through party mechanisms, not through voter mandates. When American trade negotiators ask for fair treatment for U.S. industries, Carney must calculate how such concessions would affect the political machinery that keeps him in office, not the prosperity of Canada’s citizens as a whole.

3. Canada’s Economic Model Was Built on U.S. Concessions

For decades, Canadian politicians crafted a system that relied on preferential access to the U.S. market while shielding their own economy from competition:

This system created the illusion of Canadian prosperity while the U.S. quietly absorbed the costs. That era is now over. President Trump has made it clear that America will no longer subsidize Canadian industry through lopsided trade. But Carney cannot unwind these advantages without shattering Canada’s economic model — and the political coalition that sustains him.

4. Trump Is a President. Carney Is a Party Manager.

President Trump has constitutional authority to set U.S. policy. He is the executive branch. He answers to 330 million Americans through elections, not through backroom coalition negotiations. Mark Carney is not in the same position. His title may be “Prime Minister,” but his function is closer to a corporate chairman trying to balance shareholder interests — except his shareholders are regional parties, special interest groups, and political donors.

He cannot afford to agree to Trump’s demands, even if he understands they are economically rational. Doing so would alienate the very groups that put him in office and keep him there. He must defend an outdated system because his own political survival depends on it.


Conclusion: A Man Caught in a Box

Mark Carney is not negotiating from a position of strength or sovereignty, but from political captivity. His refusal to accept President Trump’s trade terms is not strategic — it is existential. His authority depends on maintaining the unfair trade practices of the past, protecting the interests of Ontario’s political class, and appeasing coalition partners who rely on anti-American economic policies to justify their own power.

President Trump has changed the rules of the game. Canada can no longer rely on U.S. generosity as a substitute for real competitiveness. Mark Carney cannot give Trump what he wants — not because Trump is wrong, but because Carney’s political system will not let him.

In Canada, the prime minister may appear to be in charge — but the system is in charge of him.

Published under the pseudonym The Hermit.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; History
KEYWORDS: canada; commerce; trade
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1 posted on 10/29/2025 7:56:56 AM PDT by CIB-173RDABN
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To: CIB-173RDABN
No single party in modern Canadian politics wins an outright majority.

Uh I'd say this is at variance with the facts. 2011 election Conservative majority 2015 election Liberal majority for the two most recent such governments

2 posted on 10/29/2025 8:07:11 AM PDT by xp38
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To: CIB-173RDABN

Crush them. They have cheated us for years and must pay a price. Now.


3 posted on 10/29/2025 8:09:32 AM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (Freedom is the freedom to discipline yourself so others don't have to do it for you.)
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To: CIB-173RDABN

Can ya da, or can’t ya da?

We’re not going to wait all day for ya. Eh.


4 posted on 10/29/2025 8:10:24 AM PDT by one guy in new jersey
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

But MMTU... they’re so well meaning. And basically, nice fellas.

Their cross-country truckers were rock gods during Covid.

Surely you can give them some time to get their acts together?


5 posted on 10/29/2025 8:13:24 AM PDT by one guy in new jersey
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To: CIB-173RDABN

Canada is still part of the rump British Empire in London. At some level, they are still under UK/Davos control.

Americans need to beware. For the UK/Davos deep state - Canada is to the USA, what Ukraine is to Russia - a borderland wedge and base of operations that can be used to occupy and stir up trouble if they feel the need to influence/limit a great power.

Just look at Carney’s EU-banker/globalist resume. Moreover, Carney never held elected office before, until he was parachuted in to the office of Prime Minister.

Canada’s Liberal Party made this seat (riding) just outside the Capital Ottawa available for Carney a mere six weeks before the election, by kicking out another Liberal Party Member of Parliament who had held it for 10 years.


6 posted on 10/29/2025 8:16:31 AM PDT by PGR88
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To: one guy in new jersey

I am running out of time and patience. If only I could be in control for one year. A HUGE number of people need stomping to fix their attitudes. We’re going to get one from China anyway, so, let everyone keep being stupid until that happens, I guess.


7 posted on 10/29/2025 8:16:58 AM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (Freedom is the freedom to discipline yourself so others don't have to do it for you.)
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To: CIB-173RDABN

Concise and richly informing.


8 posted on 10/29/2025 8:18:13 AM PDT by Orbiter
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To: xp38

I stand corrected. As an American, I don’t follow Canadian politic too closely and missed this.

The two most recent majority governments in Canada were:

2011 – Conservative Party majority under Stephen Harper

2015 – Liberal Party majority under Justin Trudeau

So Canada has, in fact, had majority governments in recent history.

Thank you for correcting me.


9 posted on 10/29/2025 8:21:22 AM PDT by CIB-173RDABN
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To: PGR88

You are absolutely correct to point out that Carney did not rise through democratic legitimacy, but was installed by the very global financial and political networks that have treated Canada not as a sovereign nation, but as a managed economic territory.

Carney’s career path tells the story:

Former Governor of both the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England – a position no Canadian prime minister has ever held.

Senior official at the World Economic Forum (Davos).

Longtime operative of the global climate finance cartel, which uses regulations to control energy production and reallocate wealth.

This is not the résumé of a national leader. It is the résumé of a global steward—a man selected to manage Canada in alignment with the interests of London, Brussels, and Davos.

And just as you noted, the riding he now represents was engineered for him. The previous Liberal MP was forced out not by voters, but by the party machine—democracy was bypassed so that the global apparatus could insert its chosen agent.

This explains why Carney cannot simply negotiate with President Trump in good faith. He is not at the table representing Canada’s people or even Canada’s national interest. He is there to protect a global system that views Canada as:

A regulatory extension of the EU and UN system

A northern buffer state to constrain the United States

An economic platform for transferring wealth through trade imbalances

Trump is negotiating nation-to-nation. Carney is negotiating system-versus-nation. That is why he has no real ability to concede: his true accountability is not to Canada’s voters, but to the transnational institutions that put him in office.

Canada under Carney is not an ally standing beside America—it is a leverage point standing over America.


10 posted on 10/29/2025 8:26:36 AM PDT by CIB-173RDABN
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To: CIB-173RDABN

Gives me an idea. Alberta secedes and forms a new country with Constituion similar to ours and calls it the country of Alberta. Other provinces follow until they are all separate but with similar constituions. At some point they join together with a similar Constituion and Bill of Rights. They could call the new country Canada.


11 posted on 10/29/2025 8:36:33 AM PDT by Cold Heart
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To: CIB-173RDABN

Well said. 100% agree

Please direct us to authors and sources which flesh-out the points you have made.


12 posted on 10/29/2025 8:38:45 AM PDT by PGR88
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To: CIB-173RDABN

F Canada. Canadians used to be friends. Now just disguised communists.


13 posted on 10/29/2025 9:04:56 AM PDT by Agatsu77
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To: Cold Heart
Alberta secedes and forms a new country with Constituion similar to ours and calls it the country of Alberta. Other provinces follow until they are all separate but with similar constituions. At some point they join together with a similar Constituion and Bill of Rights.

Alberta, and maybe Saskatchewan, can do that. Their Constitution won't be like ours. Even the conservatives there largely prefer their broken health care/insurance system to our broken health care/insurance system. They would want gun rights, non-redistribution of wealth from local resources, ability to move those resources (e.g. Keystone) without interfence from an outside power. Restrictions on DEI/Woke, and some way to stop the Indians/Inuit/"First Peoples" from continuing to demand more and more. Let it be its own thing. Yes, Ottawa will not be able to afford the gravy train that keeps Quebec and the Maritimes pacified. If the money gets cut off, they might split off and do their own thing, like poor version of Scotland. BC would be wise and split off and go for financial free markets and non-interference but more wokeim due to the libertine/woke potheads in Vancouver. I don't see the provinces being united if the prairie provinces split off.
14 posted on 10/29/2025 9:07:45 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("Whatsoever he shall say to you, do ye." (John 2:5))
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To: Agatsu77
Canadians used to be friends. Now just disguised communists.

Don't confuse Canadians with the ones gettingthe exposure. We wouldn't like Americans to be viewed through the lens of Biden, California and BLM. Instead of Carney and the NPCs residing in Ontario, think of the Canadian truckers.
15 posted on 10/29/2025 9:10:47 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("Whatsoever he shall say to you, do ye." (John 2:5))
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To: CIB-173RDABN

Precisely what the electorial fixes.


16 posted on 10/29/2025 9:16:10 AM PDT by ImJustAnotherOkie
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To: PGR88

Please direct us to authors and sources which flesh-out the points you have made.

I am the author, my sources are many. I knew nothing about Canada and how it worked. I just got curious a few months back on why Mark Carney was able to make a deal. This is just the result of what I found. Not totally accurate as someone earlier pointed out but it may prove helpful for those that don’t want to do a deep dive into Canadian politics.


17 posted on 10/29/2025 10:26:45 AM PDT by CIB-173RDABN
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