Posted on 10/07/2025 5:15:01 AM PDT by CIB-173RDABN
The following essay represents the author’s observations and analysis based on historical, economic, and political research. The perspectives expressed are intended for thoughtful consideration and do not constitute predictions or directives. The analysis reflects a focus on cause-and-effect patterns in governance and society, drawing lessons from past events to illuminate contemporary challenges.
In October 2025, France finds itself ensnared in a profound political crisis. The resignation of Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu—less than a month into his tenure—has intensified the nation’s instability. This marks the third government collapse since the 2024 legislative elections, underscoring the deep fractures within the political system.
The primary divide is between two factions:
The inability of these groups to compromise has led to a political deadlock, with neither side willing to yield. Short-lived governments fail to enact coherent budgets or implement necessary reforms, leaving France politically paralyzed.
France’s current predicament is the culmination of decades of policy choices and structural challenges. The nation’s commitment to a generous welfare state, characterized by extensive social benefits and public services, has long been a cornerstone of its political identity.
However, Europe’s ability to sustain this model historically depended heavily on external support, particularly from the United States:
In other words, European social programs were heavily subsidized by U.S. taxpayers. Europe enjoyed over 70 years of unprecedented peace and prosperity, largely because the United States carried the burden of military protection, reconstruction, and economic stimulus.
Despite decades of success, European socialism has an inherent flaw: it cannot sustain itself indefinitely without external support. Welfare systems, pensions, and public services rely on a continuous inflow of resources. When domestic growth slows, populations age, and external subsidies wane, governments face inevitable fiscal limits.
France’s current crisis illustrates this principle vividly: promises made over decades have now collided with reality. Neither higher taxes nor spending cuts are politically feasible without compromise, yet compromise is elusive. The result is deadlock, rising debt, and social tension.
France’s situation is not unique in Europe. Many nations with expansive social programs have relied, either overtly or implicitly, on favorable external conditions — whether international trade, U.S. financial support, or post-war geopolitical stability.
This period of stability and prosperity, arguably the longest in European history, masked structural weaknesses. Now, as economic growth slows, energy costs rise, and political fragmentation deepens, the limits of welfare spending become impossible to ignore.
The broader lesson is stark: socialist systems that promise extensive benefits without sufficient domestic resources are inherently unsustainable. Reliance on external support may delay the reckoning, but it cannot eliminate it.
France stands at a crossroads. Its political deadlock reflects both the unrealistic accumulation of promises and the structural constraints of its economy. European socialism, historically enabled by U.S. protection, financial aid, and trade, is confronting the hard reality that external support cannot continue indefinitely, and domestic resources are finite.
The unfolding crisis is a cautionary tale: extensive promises require sustainable funding. When governments fail to reconcile ambitions with resources, deadlock, instability, and social tension are inevitable. Europe’s experience, and France’s crisis today, highlight the unavoidable collision between political idealism and fiscal reality.
No children is the poison pill of socialism, because you need a replacement population to keep it going. When Europe fell below its replacement levels, it doomed socialism.
A thoughtful analysis that is hard, maybe impossible, to disprove. FAFO
That and the powerhouse Germany deliberately committing economic suicide by eliminating reliable and large electric power systems in favor of expensive wind snd solar systems that are not reliable is bringing the end of European prosperity. It ocould have been turned around at some point but there is an economic steep downslope . Europe is on the edge of it or has begun the irretrievable slide. At some point, perhaps already passed, the decline must gather speed and the slope gets steeper. Britain, being a semiseparate entity could pull out of it but I believe the Mohammdan population there has grown too large, and without a sudden and probably violent expulsion, the East will subsume Britain. A collapsed Europe will begin its transition to arid and semirid Islamic sheep pasture with a population much reduced.
It doomed socialism and made Islamification inevitable.
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