Don’t bet on it. A lot of high level service personnel said the same thing about our last opponent in a large scale Pacific conflict. Then we encountered the Zero fighter and the Long Lance torpedo and our perspective changed a bit.
You beat me to it. And the difference this time is that China has the capacity to out produce us and a population many times bigger to draw combatants from. The war against Japan was a war of attrition that Japan could not win in the long run. China can.