Posted on 10/23/2024 9:40:04 AM PDT by Red Badger
“There is no shortage of hopium in the air these days. All of a sudden. Like it’s coordinated, or something.”
You mean like claims (on this thread only) that “Harris is losing 2-1 everywhere” or “Trump is going to win New York”?
I don’t know if it’s coordinated, but it sure is delusional. Trump’s probability of winning is about the same as that coin in your pocket being flipped and coming up heads. It’s THAT close, and the swing states are going to narrowly decide it, a la 2016.
The GOP perhaps gaining Senate control isn’t looking quite as rock-solid certain as it once did, but still *should* happen.
But the House, where Trump impeachments begin pretty much on Day One if Republicans don’t retain control, is looking bad. House polls (which of course we don’t believe) look TERRIBLE for at least a dozen GOP incumbents.
This election could be the opposite of 2020 — in that year Trump “lost” the presidency yet the GOP gained 13 House seats. Trump had coattails I guess.... but no coat.
In 2024, Trump could narrowly vault back into the White House while the GOP loses many seats in the House (net -5 to -10, and all the Rats need is 4) and — just like 2022 — pipe dreams of big Senate gains fall short, but Republicans still hopefully get nominal control.
Freedom Fries.....................
“There is no shortage of hopium in the air these days. All of a sudden. Like it’s coordinated, or something.”
Yeah, we should all feel defeated. That will get our side out to vote🙄.
“Actually, we kind of do. More R voters are from low R performing areas, while most Ds are from high D performing areas, so less R votes are being used up for election day for Rs. They just have to show up.
Rurals are really coming out for Rs.”
Thanks for that explanation.
How does anyone interpret early voting trends to actual countable votes cast?
I struggle with understanding the entire premise, but admittedly am naive about whether polls are seriously meaningful (or not).
“The polls out today have been generally good for Harris. She is not collapsing as many of us hope. This is going down to the wire”
A Forbes/Harris poll showing Trump up 2 national just dropped on RCP. When you click on the link and go to Forbes you can see the panic. They practically disavow their poll and bring up all the other polls showing Harris ahead🤣
That sounds eerily similar to a nightmare I had about 4 years ago.
They just count party affiliations.
Not all Republicans will vote for Trump and not all Democrats will vote for Harris.......
Oh, and the so-called Independents usually break down the same percentages as the (D) & (R)..........
That's not my gut feeling, and I seldom get gut feelings about elections. However . . .
This is going down to the wire
Everyone should keep that in the forefront of their mind. It's the only way to do battle.
The Harris poll was good news, but 4 or other 5 polls were bad news. Particularly in Michigan.
This completely changes the dynamics of the election.
Even James Carville has chimed in and said that traditional Democrat get out the vote operations are going to turn out a lot of registered Democrats who end up voting Trump. Some of these Democrats voting Trump have participated in Democrat vote fraud and know how the system works which could prove interesting.
Early voting is an abomination and should be illegal.
I think the deep state has enough tricks to get it down to the wire. If they manage to that, Harris will be installed as President. Dems, Rinos, and the courts will see to that.
Yes except this time even the normies will realize it.
I’m afraid DJT isn’t going to win NH based on yard signs and IVF.
He had a huge lead in yard signs in both 2016 and 2020 and lost narrowly. In both those years people still got pregnant the regular way.
Now every single ad on TV or the internet says Trump is banning IVF.
Go figure.
The info we need but I haven’t seen: How are DEMOCRATS turning out compared to 2020 / 2022? More Republicans doesn’t mean squat because we could be cannibalizing our Election Day turnout. But if Democrats aren’t showing up...THAT would be huge.
Too many voters from Mass. living in NH.
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