It’s really how many divisions will they be up against - that what will decide whether they’re successful.
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Which divisions do they control? Where are those divisions located?
And which divisions would go up against their divisions? Where are those divisions located and who controls them?
It’s all playing out in Ukraine now, then China next. Did you really think that the Club of Rome was just an echo chamber? As to the Order of Battle - I don’t do that much digging, but at best, for us, it’s an even match.