[Zhang Fei]

Ukraine ping

Andy Jackson: [You are finished here and your utter ignorance is on display to the world now. Tom Schelling was not a “a lefty academic talking in abstraction” and this assertion demonstrates your utter moronic and shallow understanding of nuclear deterrence and nuclear strategy.]

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The problem with the appeals to authority you are peddling is that you lack the knowledge or insight to argue from first principles. What it really does boil down to is that nuclear parity means we have a mutual hostage situation in which a Russian nuclear strike against the US will lead to the extinction of Russia. No amount of ad hominem changes the reality of that outcome. The fear of extinction keeps Russian missiles in their silos.

[AndyJackson]

Let's talk fundamentals. Russia has more tactical and strategci systems than we do. They have a lot of options for escalation and escalation control that we don't. And the top of the ladder is not Russian annihilation, but mutual annihilation.

And your perspective is not supported by game theory on this issue. Like I said you are way out of your depth.

The ost fundamental issue of all is that nukes are used to defend vital national interest. We have none in Ukraine and so we have no reason to risk our own nuclear annihilation. There is no upside for our brinksmanship over Ukraine and all kinds of downside. Like I said you are shallow and out of your depth. Your analysis is really shallow and does not discuss all the things that any serious analyst would discuss in analyzing this scenario.

[AndyJackson]

And PS if you don’t even know who Tom Schelling was, you have no credibility on the subject whatsoever.