My guess is that Gascon will get 30% of the vote. That would be the percentage of the braindead, and corrupt city union voters in the city
In CA, rat election officials will throw out ballot qualification signatures on ballot measures they don’t like with merry abandon. Likewise recall elections, though of course those are much rarer elections. That’s what happened in the Gascon recall. I’m blessedly four hundred miles from LA County, but I suspect you’re right; Gascon shouldn’t be buying unripe bananas