Some thoughts on PredictIt markets:
I would pick this as the top bet:
“Will Kamala Harris be the 47th US president?”
Buy NO at 80 cents.
Some interesting odds:
“Which party will win Wisconsin in the 2024 presidential election?”
60-40 Ds. While Ds MAY win WI, those odds seem misplaced. I’d buy Rs at 40 cents. Flip 10-20% higher.
“Which party will win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?”
Odds roughly 52-48% for Ds. I think 52-48% for Rs is more likely, but wouldn’t take either bet.
MAGA Mike Doubles Down: No Deal on Border
not likely this year as I predicted.