Oh boy, global chaos took it to a new level yesterday and overnight.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Sep 12, 2024
Sales of firearms have inched higher since Vice President Kamala Harris replaced President Joe Biden at the top of the Democratic ticket, a sign that some voters are concerned that she will make good on her plans to ban guns if elected president.
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I don’t make these observations lightly but the evidence points to one simple, devastating conclusion - the harris/biden deep state is fully at war against the citizens of the US and events of the past week(s) make it very clear
- Hurricane Helene. All the bravado by the WH over its response is just that - empty words Anyone following social media knows full well that FEMA is threatening arrest of citizens independently assisting victims, confiscating supplies being brought in, refusing to mobilize assets needed to reach the vast areas cut off because of road destruction (Ft Liberty aka Bragg, is only a few hours away). Now, FEMA claims to not have money for recovery - after diverting nearly a billion dollars for illegals to use, and only offering $750 to disaster victims.
- biden shipped off a vast amount of our strategic reserve of transformers to Ukraine, leaving virtually nothing for the necessary work to restore power to Helene hit areas, meaning areas of the country will be without power for MONTHS.
- The FCC’s illegal revocation of r SpaceX Starlink award, it would probably have saved lives in North Carolina, Florida, Georgia, Tennessee, and South Carolina. A total of over 92K terminals. Musk is hustling to get hundreds of terminals deployed on his own penny.
- Administration support of the dockworkers strike. Union president openly states his goal is to cripple the economy if he doesn’t get his 79% wage increase (they already rejected a 50% offer). The WH is not getting involved even though it is conservatively thought that the economy will be hit with 5 BILLION dollars lost per day .
Now why am I placing this under CW2? Basically to document the efforts of the deep state communists working even harder to create as much chaos before the elections as possible - Cloward-Piven strategy in action. The gross disregard is appalling and especially the fact that the FEMA elements are doing more to prevent citizens from helping than they are doing to help citizens. Pause for a moment and chew on that. Trends are that the regime is ramping up attacks on America along this trend. It will not end well.
I just can’t seem to let go of the malfeasance of FEMA / DHS directed towards the victims of Helene. There are many more reports than what I listed. Never would I have though the govt would go this far to prevent help from reaching victims. It may reach a point where citizens responding to help the victims may resort to armed operations and increase potential confrontations it govt authorities. That is how far our country has fallen and our govt is against us.
Terrorism - HIGH THREAT as of Sep 21, 2024 due to threat to shoot down Trump.
(FO) The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) said the terrorism threat environment in the Homeland is expected to remain high over the coming year, including potential violent extremist responses to domestic sociopolitical developments and international incidents.
According to the report, DHS assesses domestic and foreign adversaries will continue to target critical infrastructure through cyber and physical attacks, and violent extremists will continue to call for physical attacks on critical infrastructure.
DHS also assesses foreign adversaries including China will continue non-market policies and practices, economic espionage, and intellectual property theft to undercut U.S. competitiveness.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
Vice President Kamala Harris sided Wednesday with dockworkers who launched a massive strike this week that threatens to cripple the economy.
“This strike is about fairness,” Harris said. “Foreign-owned shipping companies have made record profits and executive compensation has grown. The Longshoremen, who play a vital role transporting essential goods across America, deserve a fair share of these record profits.”
OBSERVATION - 79% wage increase and holding the economy hostage is “fair share”??? This union has openly declared that they will willingly crash the economy.
RELATED - Shortly before President Joe Biden signed the bipartisan infrastructure bill, his White House showcased $17 billion in funding set aside for upgrades in U.S. port infrastructure for strengthening supply chains and boosting competitiveness. Now, he is now refusing to deal with a union standing in the way of efficiency-boosting automation technology where the U.S. lags behind.
OBSERVATION - This strike now appears to be pre - planned with the WH. A deliberate strike at a key component of the economy that will sabotage any recovery.
MORE RELATED - Spokesperson at FedEx announced the company is implementing ‘contingency operations’ to handle the expected surge in demand for shipping with the ongoing dockworkers strike.
***
U.S. car sales remain stuck below pre-pandemic levels amid a struggling auto market, according to The Wall Street Journal.
Higher borrowing costs and increased prices on new vehicles are two key factors steering consumers away from buying, according to the WSJ. Many customers have looked to lease cars to avoid out-of-pocket costs and have turned to purchasing smaller and more affordable vehicle models.
https://dailycaller.com/2024/10/01/us-auto-sales-remain-stuck-below-pandemic-levels/
OBSERVATION - Car sales are one of many indicators of the health of the economy. Recent reports have the govt affiliated entities touting the so called ‘robust and growing’ economy. Here is where the rubber meets the road (pun intended) that all is NOT well with the overall economy.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
****Notably, Democrats historically have an edge in support in national polls due to the large strangleholds on registered voters in the largest blue states of California and New York that do not impact the Electoral College but can skew the popular vote and a national poll.****
***
Leftist spinmeisters are going nutz trying to get something to stick on Vance from the debate Even making snarky comments about his beard. I smell the odor of desperation.
***
See rant under CW2 and politics in disaster recovery
Biden / Harris Watch –
Bush caught flack for taking 3 days before surveying Katrina damage. biden spent 7 days on the beach before seeing some of Helene damage.
Cyber attacks/warfare – Moderate ALERT as of Sep 1, 2024
Bank of America is experiencing a nationwide outage that is impacting tens of thousands users.
Downdetector, a site that monitors online issues, shows problems struck around 1pm ET, as users reported online and mobile banking and ATM services are down.
Some Bank of American customers have also reported their accounts are showing an empty balance.
OBSERVATION - No word on if this was an internal ‘glitch’ or the results of an actual cyber attack of some sort. If the latter, then we better pucker up for more of the same.
Russia -
Economic Impact –
Russian state spending on national defence will increase by 23% in 2025 to 13.5 trillion roubles ($145.32 billion) from 10.8 trillion roubles in 2024, state budget documents published on Monday showed
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 70s and fair. Increasing chances of showers towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Another large Shahed drone attack overnight. Out of 105 Shaheds launched, 78 were shot down. In addition, 23 Shaheds were lost in Ukraine, likely downed by electronic warfare and 1 flew back to Belarus.
With this attack, the total number of strike drones launched by Russia in last 30 days reached record 1439.
Ukrainian drones reportedly hit Russian Borisoglebsk airfield, targeting KAB bomb warehouses, Su-35/34 aircraft parkings, and fuel storages. Explosions and fires were reported overnight by locals, with FIRMS data showing several fire spots. Inflicted damage is still being assessed. Russian ADA responded to other drones across the region as well.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
Russian has renewed counter attacks on Ukrainian forces. Ukraine conducted attacks in the western portion of the salient.
Outlook —
The Ukraine war continues to be a meat grinder, more so for Russia than Ukraine so far. The biggest action continues to be the ‘deep’ war of drones and missiles, with the drone usage by both sides increasing daily.
Russia’s use of its cruise and ballistic missiles continue to be at a lull. Many thinking that the substantially increased drone attacks are being used to deplete ADA assets/munitions, setting Ukraine up for another series of large attacks.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Israel takes out more terrorist leaders
- Fighting grows on the S Lebanon border
- Israel preps for its counterstrike while Iran threatens further attacks if Israel does strike.
- Political moves by the US and G7 to limit Israel’s response and restore sanctions on Iran from the trump era that biden took down.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
October 12, Yom Kippur
Follow-up on the Iranian missile strike. -
Clearing skies has permitted damage assessment of the Iranian missile attack.
At one key target satellite images of an aircraft hangar at the Navatim Israeli Air Force base taken after a massive barrage of Iranian missiles appear to show a large hole in the roof. However, other impact sites did little to no damage. Novatim was the hardest hit by Iranian missiles with as many as 10-20 impacts.
Iranian independent channels reported that during the strike against Israel, one of missiles fired by IRGC hit Najaf Abad in Isfahan, crashing in a nearby mountain
Local sources reported, based in Isfahan, that at least 5 misfires took place in Isfahan during operation “True Promise 2”. Reportedly 5 Iranians died in one of the misfires
***
WH: Today, President Biden joined a call with the G7 to discuss Iran’s unacceptable attack against Israel and to coordinate on a response to this attack, including new sanctions. President Biden and the G7 unequivocally condemned Iran’s attack against Israel. Some of these sanctions were initially emplaced by Trump but removed by biden.
Biden said on Wednesday that he does not support strikes on Iran’s nuclear sites in response to its missile attack against Israel.
“We’ll be discussing with the Israelis what they’re going to do, but all seven of us (G7 nations) agree that they have a right to respond but they should respond proportionally,” Biden told reporters before boarding Air Force One.
Iran fired more than 180 ballistic missiles at Israel on Tuesday in a move that Biden previously described as “ineffective.”
https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/joe-biden-israel-attack/2024/10/02/id/1182597/
***
Israel has banned U.N. Chief Guterres from entering country after failing to condemn Iran”. Katz affirmed “anyone who cannot condemn Iran’s heinous attack on Israel does not deserve to set foot on Israeli soil.”
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
The Israeli army announced the liquidation of Rawhi Mushtaha, the head of the Hamas government in the Gaza Strip.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Israel imposed unofficial military blockade on Hezbollah - controls who lands in Beirut; targeted routes along Lebanon-Syria border and army now warning not to use main Masnaa crossing (predominantly ‘civilian’) for combat equipment
IAF continued to hit Hezbollah zones in S Beirut overnight, killing more terrorist leaders.
NOTE - Beirut along with the rest of the country, has been divided up following the civil war. The areas being targeted by the IAF are Hezbollah districts and are uniformly occupied by Hezbollah and military related storage and facilities.
Overall, the IDF states that they struck approximately 200 Hezbollah terrorist targets in Lebanese territory, including terrorist infrastructure sites, terrorists, weapons storage facilities, observation posts, and additional terrorist infrastructure in southern Lebanon.
Hezbollah continues efforts to launch rockets into Israel, but are generally managing only about a 100 - 200 or so on an averaged daily basis.
Israel eliminated Hassan Jafar Kasir, the new commander of Unit 4400 for supplying weapons from Iran to Hezbollah. He replaced the previous commander of the unit which was his brother Muhammad Jafar Kasir, who was eliminated a few days ago.
A third mass evacuation of a population in southern Lebanon: the IDF spokesman in Arabic instructed another 26 villages in southern Lebanon to evacuate north of the Awali River
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Israel hit a warehouse inside the Russian Hmeimim base. Israeli also hit targets the outskirts of the Russian Hmeimim airport near the city of Jableh in the Latakia countryside, and explosions. The targeted location appears to be a missile warehouse in Latakia, Jableh.
Israel bombed the Hmeimim base an hour after the arrival of an Iranian plane belonging to the “Qashim Fars” company. The Israeli bombing did not target the runways and towers at the Hmeimim base and the Latakia civilian airport. The Israeli bombing targeted other military sites in Latakia governorate, coinciding with the bombing of the warehouse inside the Hmeimim base.
Israeli bombing Yafour and Al-Dimas in the Damascus countryside.
Iranian media: Revolutionary Guards advisor Majid Diwani killed in raid on Damascus
Three commanders in Iran’s Quds Force were eliminated in Damascus overnight in a targeted strike.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
3 Swedish citizens aged 15-20 arrested for throwing hand grenades at the Israeli Embassy in Copenhagen this morning
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Israel keeps hitting Lebanon hard while it prepares for an Iranian strike. Some observers estimate that within the next 72 hours Israel will attack Iran’s oil and gas infrastructure and a few IRGC bases. Timing is obviously in the hands of Israel and may be affected by the series of holy days. Israel is currently observing the “days of awe” leading up to Yom Kippur (Oct 12) and Feast of Tabernacles (October 17-23). A symbolic day for the Israeli would obviously be Oct 7 - the one year anniversary of the Hamas terror attack that started the ball rolling. Israel will likely strike before Yom Kippur, any longer gets things balled up and misses the current window of opportunity.
Strong opposition to hitting iranian nuclear sites by biden appear to have affected Israeli planning. Some pushback even for hitting Iranian petroleum sector.
Again, the biggest economic target is Kharg Island and Iranian oil industry. There are many other targets out there as well. Mossad agents are likely to be working hard to track/maintain contact with the current location of the mullah’s hide outs as they are clearly now in the bullseye of Israel.
Israel has air and sea launched cruise missiles as well as ballistic missiles. Conventional warheads on them will still do incredible damage. Unlike - though I wouldn’t rule out Israeli ingenuity - is a direct aircraft strike on Iranian targets. A 2000 lb bunker buster would ruin many an underground facility, but the logistics necessary to pull such an attack off is extremely high with accompanying high risk.
Besides threatening Israel, Iran may well open up a more regional conflict (see unofficial IRGC comments below under “Iran”), even to the point of attempting to close the straits of Hormuz. This risk increases if US assets and combat elements join Israeli forces for the retaliatory strike.
The war in S Lebanon is panning out into a series of resonance in force probs - IDF moves in, touches Hezbollah and pulls back with critical ground intel.
Two axis of advance from IAF into Lebanon are developing. Northern one near Metula. This is where the distance from the Israeli border to the Litany River is the shortest.
The second is further south where the border bends towards the med. Key village in the near area is Bint Jbeil.
Israel may well be looking at cutting Hezbollah controlled S Lebanon in half, keyed by the Metula axis. Question is will this force swing north or west, cutting off Hezbollah ground forces and promoting defeat in detail.
Israel continues to activate more reserver units, so the thought that is current operation will be ‘limited’ is not likely - Israel has clearly stated that Hezbollah has to be removed from rocket range in S Lebanon and that means the Litiani River. No small 5 km incursion will obtain those goals.
What to expect in the near term / coming days
- Israeli counter strike on Iran
- Expansion of the ground offensive into Lebanon into a full scale operation.
Iran –
Washington Post quoting a senior European official: Tehran considers attacks on its oil and gas industry a red line
Iranian President Pezeshkian to senior Hamas officials during his visit to Doha, Qatar: If Israel makes the smallest mistake, there will be a more severe response from our armed forces
The Iranian Revolutionary Guards began to spread on news sites close to them and on various Telegram channels a sharp threat, according to which if Israel attacks oil facilities in Iran - there will be a severe response in the form of attacks on oil facilities in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Azerbaijan, Kuwait and Bahrain.
This is the first time that the Iranians threaten - even if not officially - to expand the missile fire to other countries. The Iranian threat is of course intended to raise concerns in Washington, that Israeli action against oil facilities in Iran will lead to a global energy crisis. So far, the countries mentioned in the Iranian threat have not addressed it.
The Iranian Ministry of Intelligence issues a threat in Hebrew according to which it will soon eliminate the heads of Israel’s security establishment and Prime Minister Netanyahu.
Iran summons German, Austrian ambassadors over their condemnation of the missile attack on Israel
Iran’s envoy to Security Council: “We acted in response to Israel’s violation of Iran’s sovereignty and based on the right to defend ourselves, and Iran’s missile attacks were proportionate to Israeli violations”
“The only way to prevent further escalation is for Israel to end the war in Gaza and stop attacks on Lebanon”
***
Former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad claimed in an interview with CNN Turkey that a unit established to counter Israeli intelligence operations was itself infiltrated by Mossad agents. Ahmadinejad alleged that the Mossad, Israel’s top security agency, had placed one of its agents in charge of the very unit tasked with combating its activities.
GENERAL OBSERVATION - The ballistic missile attack has caused Iranian leaders and the Republican Guard to feel pretty cocky and are acting out on it in a blitz of bluster designed to try to intimidate Israel and any allies.
Thanks Godzilla. Proportionality? When will Israel sent 180 ballistic missiles into Iran?
- Hurricane Helene. All the bravado by the WH over its response is just that - empty words Anyone following social media knows full well that FEMA is threatening arrest of citizens independently assisting victims, confiscating supplies being brought in, refusing to mobilize assets needed to reach the vast areas cut off because of road destruction (Ft Liberty aka Bragg, is only a few hours away). Now, FEMA claims to not have money for recovery - after diverting nearly a billion dollars for illegals to use, and only offering $750 to disaster victims.
People can go about three days without water - then they die and watch their children die ALL OF THIS IS INTENTIONAL. THEY WANT OUR REACTION SO THEY CAN ARREST AND KILL US. It's worse than what we think...
Weekend coming up and my major goal is to have my HF antenna up and operational.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Sep 12, 2024
MSNBC host Joy Reid has claimed that Democratic voters want to give former President Donald Trump a “knuckle sandwich” despite some of their bogus rhetoric to the contrary.
Reid told a network panel that the Democratic base really want someone to engage in a “fistfight” with Trump.
“Democrats want to see someone get up there and give a knuckle sandwich to Donald Trump,” Reid said.
https://thepopulisttimes.com/joy-reid-admits-democrats-want-violence-against-trump/
OBSERVATION - Reid continues to put a voice to the underlying violent desires of the progressive core of the democrat party. The fact that she keeps spewing calls for violence and not being censored by the network underlies the fact.
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Massachusetts Gov. Maura Healey has signed an emergency preamble to the state’s sweeping gun control bill, fast-tracking its implementation and halting an ongoing effort by gun rights activists to delay its effects.
The law, H.4885, was originally scheduled to take effect on Oct. 23, or 90 days after Healey signed the bill in July, but her decision to proceed with signing the emergency preamble means it goes into effect immediately.
H.4885 expands Massachusetts’ already strict gun regulations, in part as a response to the 2022 U.S. Supreme Court ruling in New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen, which affirmed an individual’s right to carry firearms in public for self-defense.
The expedited law includes provisions banning untraceable “ghost guns,” expanding restrictions on “assault-style” firearms and large-capacity magazines, and tightening the state’s “red flag” rules. It also mandates that firearm license applicants pass a standardized safety exam and complete live-fire training, while also providing mental health information to local licensing authorities.
OBSERVATION - More govt tyranny at the state level. Circumventing the constitution.
***
There are several dozen pro-hamas/hezbollah protests scheduled for the weekend in cities across the country. Some may have violence/vandalism associated with them, likely in places like NYC, but no serious acts forecast.
Terrorism - HIGH THREAT as of Sep 21, 2024 due to threat to shoot down Trump.
(FO) According to a new interim report from the House Judiciary Committee staff, 1.7 million special interest aliens (SIA) from a list of 26 countries the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has determined pose the greatest national security and counterintelligence threat to the U.S. have entered the country since 2021. According to the report, 504,214 SIAs were encountered at the southwest border in 2024 so far. The majority of illegal immigrants from DHS’s list of 26 countries including Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Nigeria, and Turkey are unlikely to have ties to terrorism or terrorist groups.
OBSERVATION - If these numbers decide to act, even our military forces will be overwhelmed, as a US division usually has about 10K-15K and we are looking at potentially 1.7 million!
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
Tens of thousands of dock and port workers are heading back to work after their union and the U.S. Maritime Alliance (USMX) reached a tentative agreement to end the labor dispute on Oct. 3.
The breakthrough came after port employers reportedly offered a 62 percent wage increase over six years. The agreement also extends their master contract to add more time to iron out details over a new contract.
“The International Longshoremen’s Association and the United States Maritime Alliance, Ltd. have reached a tentative agreement on wages and have agreed to extend the Master Contract until January 15, 2025 to return to the bargaining table to negotiate all other outstanding issues,” ILA and USMX officials said in a joint statement.
OBSERVATION - Holding the country hostage - and getting a tentative 62% pay raise, while the vast majority of Americans would rejoice over a 3% raise. Talks will continue over increasing automation - a point that prior to the walk out was a no go - and will likely continue as such by the union.
RELATED - Florida Gov Ron DeSantis was set to deploy the National guard to secure port facilities and resume operations.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 25th
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
****Notably, Democrats historically have an edge in support in national polls due to the large strangleholds on registered voters in the largest blue states of California and New York that do not impact the Electoral College but can skew the popular vote and a national poll.****
***
Try as hard as they could, spinmeisters for harris couldn’t put enough lipstick on the pig that was the VP debate. Walz dug himself into a pretty deep hole.
Biden / Harris Watch –
REPORTER: “What do the states in the storm zone need after what you saw today?”
BIDEN: “Oh, the storm zone. I’m with what storm they’re talking about.”
He also said the victims were ‘happy’.
Illegal Immigration –
Big in the news as it appears that the amount of money FEMA dumped into illegals has now grown to around $1.5 Billion over the past couple years.
See also Terrorism above for special interest aliens (SIA) notes.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 70s and fair. Increasing chances of showers towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Two Russian oil depots were targeted last night by Ukrainian drones. In the Voronezh region, a drone struck a fuel tank, while in the Perm region, fuel containers are burning across an area of 10,000 m².
Overnight, Russia launched 17 Shahed drones. 9 of them were shot down, and 7 others were lost on Ukrainian territory, likely due to EW measures.
Outlook —
Russian offensive across the Donbas continues to grind, with no observable operational level success, only small tactical gains, sometimes measurable by the meter. Inspire of renewed activity in the Kursk region, no perceptible change has been noted there either.
Drone wars continue as Ukraine keeps hammering Russian oil sites/facilities. Seem Russia once again is beginning to target the Ukraine power grid.
No foreseeable breakouts on the ground. In the drone/missile wars things can change in an instant.
Moldova/Transnistria -
Moldovan authorities revealed a Russian operation aimed at bribing over 130,000 Moldovan citizens to influence votes and prevent the country from joining the European Union. According to police chief Viorel Cernăuțeanu, Russia transferred $15 million in September alone to spread disinformation, provoke unrest, and target state institutions. The payments were made through a bank linked to Russia’s defense ministry, with instructions provided via Telegram on how to vote and spread false information about the EU. (Bloomberg )
Belarus -
Lukashenka said that Belarus has never initiated confrontation and will do everything to peacefully coexist with Ukraine. “My main task is to prevent Belarus from being drawn into war.”
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Airstrikes take heavy toll on Hezbollah leadership.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
October 12, Yom Kippur
Reports that the new head of Iran’s Quds Forces in Lebanon was eliminated. He replaced General Abbas Nilforoushan (eliminated last week) who replaced General Mohammad Reza Zahedi (eliminated in April). The elimination of Hashem Safi A Din is believed to have been carried out while the Shura Council was meeting to choose a replacement for Nasrallah . If the report is correct, we are talking about the elimination of a large number of senior Hezbollah officials!
Hezbollah leaders:
Hassan Nasrallah: Eliminated on September 27.
Hassan Khalil Yassin: Appointed on September 28. Eliminated hours later.
Hashem Safieddine: Appointed on October 1. Eliminated on October 3.
Hours after eliminating the new Hezbollah leader Hashem Safieddine, Israel Air Force eliminated his brother as well.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Hamas et al managed to fire a few rockets overnight.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Israeli Defense Minister: Ground operation on northern border will continue until area is cleared of weapons. Gallant says Israel has “more surprises in store” for Hezbollah, as ground operations continue in southern Lebanon.
New evacuation warning was issued by Israeli army to the residents of the building in Hadath district of Beirut
New developing axis. Lebanese border: Clashes in Kafr Kila axis between Hezbollah elements and the Israeli army . This is in the northern most part of the Israeli/Lebanon border zone.
1Israeli naval vessels struck targets in S Beirut overnight for the first time in the war.
Massive airstrikes believed to have taken out nearly all of Hezbollah’s Shura Council overnight .
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Israeli fighter jets struck a 3.5 kilometer-long tunnel that crossed between Lebanon and Syria, which the Israeli army says was used by Hezbollah to smuggle Iranian weapons. A separate overnight strike targeted “infrastructure” at the Masnaa Border Crossing, between Lebanon and Syria, after the Israeli army said it identified attempts to deliver Iranian weapons to Hezbollah
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Germany and Switzerland asked all their citizens to leave Iran immediately, in anticipation of Israel’s massive response.
They follow Britain that asked its citizens to leave Iran yesterday.
Sweden calls on its citizens to leave the territory of Iran.
The Swedish government held a press conference and confirms that “there are aspects that point to Iranian involvement” in Tuesday’s shooting attack against Israel Embassy in Stockholm and y-day’s hand grenade attacks against the Israeli Embassy in Copenhagen.
The hand grenade attack against the Israeli Embassy in Copenhagen and the shooting attack against the Israeli Embassy in Sweden were carried out by Sweden’s largest organized crime gang “Foxtrot” on the order of the Islamic Regime in Iran. The leader to the gang, Rawa “the Kurdish Fox” Majid lives in Turkey and Iraq from where he controls the gang.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
SMH, Israel nails the remnants of Hezbollah and Iranian Quds leadership - again. Maybe they do have a genie helping them out - since the timing and accuracy of the strikes have been nothing but phenomenal.
Ground operations in S Lebanon continue slow and methodical. Israel finding numerous ‘residences’ loaded to the gills with munitions. One can view these border villages as Hezbollah’s first line of defense and once this zone is cleared out, ground operations may pick up speed.
Israel is still expected to strike Iran within the next few days. I still like the Oct 7 date to attack just for its symbolism. Iran is very nervous with the uncertainty of just what targets will be hit. Some observers continue to suggest biden convinced Netanyahu to avoid the nuclear sites for now, but may have gotten the honey badger treatment regarding other targets.
More OSINT assessment of the missile strike has run into image quality issues, some think deliberate tampering with resolutions. Some are saying that at one airbase as many as 20-30 missiles got thru, though did very little substantial damage.
Iran –
Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, leading Friday Prayers for the first time in 5 years, addressed a mass gathering days after Iran’s attack on Israel: “The enemy of Iran is the same as the enemy of Iraq, Lebanon, and Egypt. Our enemy is one and the same.”
***
In anticipation of Israel’s attack on its oil infrastructure, Iran shuts down Khark Island where it exports more than 90% of its oil. every Iranian tanker left Kharg Island’s oil terminal anchorage.
Misc of Note –
Just weeks away from the election, and there are growing indicators that Harris is losing. This is where Democrats will be the most dangerous.
I am getting a growing feeling that they will do what ever it takes to keep trump out of office - and that includes violent acts.