CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
RUMINT - A source from the Chicago Police Department has verified that pallets or containers of bricks have been found near locations designated for protests related to the Democratic National Convention.
OBSERVATION - Considering RUMINT because an accompanying photo allegedly showing the bricks was linked to a 2020 event. Always use caution with internet sources.
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of Aug 1, 2024
Officials at Joint Base San Antonio-Lackland (JBSA) said its security officers returned fire on multiple active shooters who fired upon the main gate at the JBSA Chapman Training Annex early Saturday.
The incident occurred Saturday morning around 4:30 am when at least once suspect in a sedan fired at security officers. . San Antonio police were also on the scene, according to local news outlet KSAT 12.
Authorities did not say if anyone was hurt or how many individuals were involved in the exchange of gunfire. Officials did indicate that the shooters were not known to have any military connections.
“There was no active threat to the installation … and our security forces responded to mitigate the threat,” said JBSA spokesperson Stefanie Antosh to the media. No motive was given for the shooting and Antosh said the suspects did not try to breach the main gate.
https://www.newsmax.com/us/shooting-air-force-texas/2024/08/17/id/1176888/
OBSERVATION - Officials are avoiding the use of the term - terrorism - to describe the incident. Some want to write it off as some gangster related crime of opportunity. I think differently in the context of recent incidents at other military facilities. I’m inclined to consider this to be more likely a probing attack, test run.
Lackland has private security at the gates, IIRC, and this could be a test on how they would respond to a lethal attack. Seems that the assailants encounter quick weapons fire in return. I expect probes to increase, especially as conditions around the world continue to deteriorate and nations hostile to the US look to asymmetric warfare such as terror strikes on US facilities as possible weapons to use.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
Observers are claiming that 1/3 of the US naval power is concentrated in the middle eastern region. I think that may be a bit of an overstatement, never the less, there is a lot of firepower in place or enroute to send a message.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
Oct 2- 5: International Bird Flu Summit in DC
Bavarian Nordic is preparing for a clinical trial to assess the immunogenicity and safety of its Moneypox vaccine in children between the ages of 2 and 12 in the Democratic Republic of Congo and Uganda. They’re going to do this to poor, uneducated people in Africa. It’s another emergency use situation, so they can skate if it goes wrong.
They call it Monkeypox, MPox now, but it’s still Monkeypox.
https://www.independentsentinel.com/here-comes-the-monkeypox-vaccine-for-2-12-year-olds/
OBSERVATION - Beginning the conditioning of the population as well as testing groups deemed disposable by the globalists. The basic claims is monkey pox is now transmissible via airborne routes. Yet it remains clustered within the gay community as a SID.
POLITICAL FRONT –
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
Debates ???
FoxNews Sept 4th (dropped by harris)
ABC September 10th
NBC September 25
Vance/walz - Oct. 1
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
The Washington Post, owned by billionaire Jeff Bezos, excoriated Harris in an editorial, taking the Democrat presidential nominee to task for claiming price gouging is fueling inflation. Rather than offering a plan to fix it, the Post said, she offered “populist gimmicks” during a campaign speech Friday.
The editorial board said one way to address inflation would be to “level with voters, telling them that inflation spiked in 2021 mainly because the pandemic snarled supply chains, and that the Federal Reserve’s policies, which the Biden-Harris administration supported, are working to slow it.”
Instead, the Post wrote, Harris chose to blame big business and “price gouging” by grocery stores, landlords, pharmaceutical companies, “and other supposed corporate perpetrators.”
“Whether the Harris proposal wins over voters remains to be seen, but if sound economic analysis still matters, it won’t,” the board wrote.
The board said Harris’ speech Friday “ranks as a disappointment,” even if it can be chalked up to “the pandering standards of campaign economics.”
https://www.newsmax.com/politics/washington-post-kamala-harris-groceries/2024/08/17/id/1176906/
OBSERVATION - Woah! WaPo taking a slash on harris’ plan! They better included the flood of money from the feds under the inflation reduction act that made matters worse.
****
There are some powerful democrats that don’t want a harris policy agenda to be released before the elections - the ultimate keeping the sheeple in the dark. I’m not sure that even the liberal MSM can keep their mouths shut over such a tactic. I think it is a result of the sudden pushback of some of her announced policies, like no SSN tax, no tax on tips, building new homes w/ $25K downpayment help (including doling out the money to illegals), and other policies stolen from Trump, etc. See WaPo above over likely response to no democrat platform going into the elections.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Besides being hammered for his military claims, Walz is now facing serious accusations regarding his relationship to China and its policies. The campaign continues to try to present him as a “common” man and not the deep marxist his career has demonstrated.
Harris getting increasing heat for avoiding open, unscripted press conferences or interviews.
Illegal Immigration –
San Diego Sector Border Patrol officials report an increase in migrant apprehensions for the second consecutive week. During the past four weeks, agents encountered nearly 13,000 migrants.
San Diego Sector Chief Patrol Agent Patricia McGurk-Daniel posted a weekly recap on social revealing the apprehension of 3,389 migrants during the previous seven days.
Overall, apprehensions have continued to be lower than same time last year.
OBSERVATION - The reinstatement of many of the trump policies have caused the reduction in border crossings, almost a much as uncertainty about a trump win and mass deportations.
Russia -
*****
The head of a Russian private militia has called on the army to overthrow Vladimir Putin in what is potentially shaping up to be the biggest threat of revolt the Kremlin has faced since the Wagner mutiny last year.
Georgy Zakrevsky is the founder of the Paladin PMC, one of many shadowy military groups like the former Wagner militia, that are loosely linked to the Kremlin.
Zakrevsky launched a blistering attack on the Russian president during a video recording in which he blamed all the military failures in Ukraine on Putin personally.
https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1937097/russia-commander-vladimir-putin-removal-kremlin-wagner
RUMINT-
Vladimir Putin is set to launch a ‘purge’ of his top generals following the Ukrainian incursion into Kursk.
The Russian president is set to wield the axe against Kremlin army chiefs after their failures in Kursk, which led to the loss of 400 square miles of home soil.
Former Ukrainian adviser Anton Gerashchenko has claimed that sources within Russia indicated that “criminal cases are being prepared” for top military brass.
There are reports thatPutin is particularly angry at Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov, who was suspiciously missing from Moscow’s crunch Security Council meeting last Friday.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80 - 90 degree range and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 8 Shahed drones, 2 KN-23 ballistic missiles, 3 cruise missiles
Ukrainian military repelled big Russian assault with in Pivninchne, Zalizne towards Toretsk. 10 vehicles lost and many Russian servicemen killed, - General staff of armed forces of Ukraine
Germany announced no new aid to Ukraine amidst its own budgetary meltdown
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
NOTE - Much of the OSINT is coming from Russian based reports. Ukraine still holding to very tight OPSEC. Situation on the ground is still confused and changing minute by minute.
***
Ukrainian forces have reportedly captured / destroyed Russia’s 155th infantry brigade (essentially the remnants thereof) following publication by Russian members showing Ukrainian POWs who were decapitated and heads put on poles. Unconfirmed reports that 155th were not to be taken prisoner but exterminated.
Ukraine continues to take out more bridges, raising the ire of Russian civil authorities attempting to get people evacuated ahead of the Ukraine push.
Ocheretyne -
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Svyrydonivka village of Donetsk region of Ukraine
Outlook —
Ukraine continues to yield ground grudgingly to Russia in the Ocheretyne front while still gobbling up Russian territory. The Ocheretyne salient is dangerously thin and extended and if Ukraine has the resources, a localized counter attack could pinch it off and isolate a pretty large Russian force.
Word of a new purge in the Kremlin only means more confusion in command and coordination of the war against Ukraine. The invasion of Kursk has shaken some in the kremlin and maybe even putin, with ample blame rolling downhill. Parallel rumors of grumblings leaning toward a potential coup attempt are on the rise as well. Normally purges are associated with eliminating opposition that could lead a coup.
One of the other drivers of a potential coup is the massive hemorrhage of men and equipment the war has inflicted on Russia and the overall declining economic conditions. Not that the Moscovite rulers of Russia really care about the little people but they are a minority in the country.
Short term forecast is continued fighting as been developed over the past couple weeks. Potential for Ukraine to launch a supporting attack if they have the forces and can successfully weaken the Russian defenses through redeployment of forces into Kursk.
ISRAEL –
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Most of ground activity centered around Khan Younis with air/artillery strikes elsewhere.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
The Israeli Air Force targeted and bombed a Hezbollah military building and a weapons warehouse in the area of Nabatiyeh in southern Lebanon overnight, the IDF announced on Saturday morning.
In addition, Israeli forces used artillery fire against various Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon where the Iranian-backed terrorist group has a strong presence.
Later on Saturday, Hezbollah launched some 55 rockets against northern Israeli communities in what it described as a response to the lethal Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon.
https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-45/
——— FORECAST ————————-
The situation in Gaza is relative stable, with continued Israeli air and artillery strikes taking out groups of Hamas trying to reform. More and more Hamas attacks (mortar and rocket) being fired from within refugee tent encampments.
Situation against Hezbollah is still on a hair trigger as Hezbollah ponders whether to take the initiative from Iran and strike on its own or wait. Israel continues to decapitate leadership and hit key logistical and command sites throughout southern Lebanon to further degrade Hezbollah’s capabilities.
Israel maintains readiness and preparations to invade S Lebanon to deal with Hezbollah once and for all. That order is likely pending resolution of what ever joint retaliatory strike Hezbollah/Iran launch towards Israel and would serve a justification of a ground invasion.
Iran’s promised retaliation is still pending as they assess if it is worth the price of Israel’s retaliatory counterstrike (likely the elimination of their nuclear program and oil industry) to go forward. They are going to do something else they will lose a lot of face before other islamists in the region and world.
Iran –
Iranian opposition channels report that Iranian intelligence has arrested Imad al-Din Khatami, the son of former Iranian President Mohammad Khatami, on charges of spying for a foreign country.
Khatami was Iran’s fifth president from 1997-2005.
OBSERVATION - Still stinging from the successful Israeli attack, Iran continues to scrub the population for possible accomplices and others deemed harmful towards the regime.
Iraq -
Negotiations moving forward designed to have all US forces withdrawn from the country.
Lebanon -
Electricity was out in Lebanon late on Saturday after the last remaining power station closed down due to a shortage of fuel. “After exhausting all possible options to extend energy production, the last power station has been put out of use and electricity has been cut in the entire country,” the government said. The Beirut airport said it would remain operational with the help of generators as citizens are urged to preserve water.
https://www.ynetnews.com/article/bkmdeekja
Venezuela -
Opposition supporters have gathered across Venezuela to protest against Nicolas Maduro’s disputed victory in last month’s presidential election.
Opposition leader María Corina Machado joined thousands of protesters in the capital, Caracas, and urged them not to be afraid.
Ms Machado, who had been in hiding after being accused of insurrection, said there was nothing above the voice of the people, and that the people had spoken.
Police and the army were deployed in force as supporters of Mr Maduro also held a demonstration.
According to the Venezuelan government, more than 2,400 people have been detained since 29 July, the day the disputed election result was announced.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cgedgqqy7x9o
OBSERVATION - The opposition lost an opportunity to strike while the iron was hot and Maduro has been able to regain control of police and military.
Thanks Godzilla. Civilization continues to decapitate barbaric leadership.
If true, the pallets of bricks didn't just magically appear in proximity to the DNC convention site.
There must be some electronic cameras surveilling the traffic and traffic pattern in that general area that would show pallet distribution.
Also given the weight of a pallet of bricks, that would indicate the use of a front loader or tow motor.
Such information should provide a paper trail showing the financial and tactical source for the brick pallets.
Democrats invented modern day 'rent a mob' concepts and they know how to control the narrative around riots to benefit themselves. If some riots add spice to the convention, there will be some riots. If no riots help there will be none. If a lot of riots happen and Harris uses them for a "Sister Soulja" moment, then that's what will happen.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
Protests began yesterday in Chicago
Ngo - Left-wing protesters chant again against “Christian fascists” while later chanting in support of “intifada,” or violent uprisings. Intifadas against Israelis were marked by periods of terrorist attacks and mass killings of civilian targets
“Madam VP You Are Sellout, Pack Your Bags And Get The Hell Out!”- Pro-Palestine protesters chanting as they’re marching in Chicago.
Currently, it looks like the focus of the major protests/riots is coming from the pro-hamas crowd. As noted prior, they are not satisfied with the democrats and want a complete shutdown of any aid an a forced ceasefire. The reports presence of so many antifa reinforces the indicators of violence and rioting spinning off from the protests. Business sections of Chicago away from the convention center have battened down the hatches and extensive reporting of street closures is in effect. Chicago police are expecting 100s of thousands of protestors this next week.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
This Wednesday the Bureau of Labor and Statistics is expected to release the most recent jobs data as well as revisions from previous months. I’m hearing rumblings that this could be interesting.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) has left the South China Sea and is now in the Indian Ocean, Navy officials confirmed to USNI News on Friday.
Meanwhile, carrier USS Carl Vinson (CVN-70) returned to San Diego this week after deploying to Hawaii for the Rim of the Pacific 2024 exercise, according to ship spotters.
POLITICAL FRONT –
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
Debates ???
FoxNews Sept 4th (dropped by harris)
ABC September 10th
NBC September 25
Vance/walz - Oct. 1
DNC convention starts today
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
Speaking of polls, I’ve noticed a trend back to Trump following harris’ explosive spike of the past couple weeks. I’ve noted that in one poll democrats were sampled at +10 to yield a +4 for harris. Now these polls show trump pulling back ahead in swing state and national polls. He is reportedly clearly leading on major issues. Democrats are hoping for another boost coming out of the convention - but they have some serious problems of their own making - they can’t keep harris isolated for ever from unscripted questions and answers. Also, the few policies that have been released have hit reality to the extent that liberal MSM is having problems swallowing it.
****
What are harris’ policy and preferences? Well she was far more outspoken in 2020 running for president - so those views are likely still in her mind today. Here is one that clearly shows her totalitarian marxist views
At a campaign stop in 2019 -
Kamala: ‘A lot of drugs, prescription medications, was born out of federal funding for the research and development of that drug. Your taxpayer dollars. So for any drug where they fail to play by their own rules and if the drug came out because of federal funding for what is called R&D, I will snatch their patent so that we will take over.’
[Audience chuckles nervously]
Kamala: ‘Yes, we can do that. Yes we can do that. The question is, “Do you have the will to do it?” I have the will to do it.’
Again during the 2020 campaign she showed willingness to use the powers of the WH to destroy people and their lives. See the link below
https://x.com/ULTRA_MAJESTY/status/1824810980926230949
NOTE - there is a push by some congressional democrats to keep the democrat platform and policies under wraps until after the election. Makes you wonder just how ugly those policies and platform items are if they want to have voters check the box in an ignorant manner.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Kamala word salads are so back: “Our election is about understanding the importance of this beautiful country of ours in terms of what we stand for around the globe as a democracy. As a democracy, we know there’s a duality to the nature of democracy. On the one hand, incredible strength when it is in tact. What it does for its people to protect and defend their rights. Incredibly strong. And incredibly fragile.”
“When we increase home ownership in America.. what that means in terms of increasing the tax base, not to mention property tax base, what that does to fund schools. Again, return on investment.”
***
Rumors are circulating Kamala Harris has a serious drinking problem which hinders her from answering questions from reporters or handling a press conference.
Phillipines –
Chinese and Philippine Coast Guard vessels collided yesterday at Second Thomas Shoal, according to the statements of CCG. Video of the event show that the chinese vessel deliberately targeted the Philippine vessel.
Russia -
*****
Russia will “take measures” if Poland tries to shoot down missiles over Ukraine, Russian MFA says
The ministry said that direct involvement of the West in the conflict would have “great risks for the escalation of the international situation”
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80 - 90 degree range and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 11 Shahed drones overnight.
Ukrainian General Staff estimates total Russian losses at 600,470 (dead and wounded taken out of battle).
Last night, Ukrainian attack drones successfully hit a Russian oil depot in Rostov Oblast, setting several storage tanks alight. Nearly 24 hours later, the oil depot continues to burn. The Rostov facility is reportedly dedicated to providing fuel to the Russian military.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
NOTE - Much of the OSINT is coming from Russian based reports. Ukraine still holding to very tight OPSEC. Situation on the ground is still confused and changing minute by minute.
***
Ukrainian 36th separate marines brigade have control over Apanasivka village over Kursk region
Russian channels report that Ukrainian forces destroyed the third and final pre-war bridge over the Seym River at Karyzh, Kursk Oblast.
Russian forces south of the river now only have one pontoon bridge left.
NOTE - This traps a significant Russian border force up against the Ukraine border. Rumored thought is that Ukraine will push westward to complete the isolation of those forces.
President Zelenskyy: main task of all our defensive operations - to reduce military potential of Russian Federation as much as possible, in Kursk region - goal is to create buffer zone
Ocheretyne -
Mandatory evacuation of families with children declared in Pokrovsk community of Donetsk region: Pokrovsk and Rodynske towns, Hnativka, Dachenske, Zhovte, Zelene, Lysivka, Novopavlivka, Novoukrayinka, Pushkine, Rih, Sukhyy Yar, Troyanda and Chunyshyne villages
Outlook —
Russia has redoubled its efforts on the Ocheretyne salient as indicated by the evacuation notices. This is the one sector that has apparently escaped troop withdrawals to support Kursk.
Ukraine OTOH, continues to press its attacks in Kursk but seems to be transitioning to a tactical pause so that forces can be repositioned for the next phase of the assault. Zelenskyy implies that one goal of the offensive is to establish a buffer zone, so a pivot to the west and southeast are potential next phases. This pivot would have Ukraine fighting parallel to any Russian defensive lines - virtually negating them.
Time will tell what the next moves by both sides will be.
Europe / NATO General –
German Foreign Ministry spokesman: Berlin’s support for Ukraine is constant and will continue as long as necessary
German Finance Ministry Spokesperson: We are working intensively on creating an international financing instrument for Ukraine
OBSERVATION - Germany’s shock announcement over the weekend that they were pulling the plug on Ukraine support apparently hit pushback quickly. Germany’s economy is already in a shambles due largely to the massive push for global warming goals that has created shortages of electricity and shut down a large number of factories. Unless it discards the failing green energy movements, its economy will potentially crater.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Suicide bombing attempt in Tel Aviv fails as bomb belt detonates prematurely
- Hamas rejects latest peace plan.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
Police and the Shin Bet security agency in a statement say that the blast in Tel Aviv last night was an intended terror attack.The joint statement says that after an initial investigation, “it can be said that this was a terror attack, with the detonation of a powerful explosive device. In addition to the bomber being killed, another man in the area was moderately wounded.
Channel 13, quoting the Israeli police: Yesterday’s bombing in Tel Aviv was a hostile operation and the perpetrator apparently came from the Nablus area
Hamas and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad announced that they conducted the attack in Tel Aviv together. The two say they will be bringing back such suicide attacks. The last suicide bombing in Tel Aviv was in April 2006
Hamas stressed it would only agree to a deal that includes an end to the war and a withdrawal of all Israel Defense Forces troops from the Gaza Strip, as it outlined in its July 2 response to mediators.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
More than 45 targets were struck by the Israeli Air Force across the Gaza Strip over the past day, the Israeli army says, as ground forces continue operations in Rafah, Khan Younis, Deir al-Balah, and the Netzarim Corridor
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Israel continues to target Hezbollah leaders and Hezbollah retaliates with rocket and drone attacks.
Reports of an Israeli special operations team penetrating into S Lebanon and withdrawing following completion of its mission.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces very active in and around Nablus.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
U.S. Central Command: In the past 24 hours, U.S. Central Command forces successfully destroyed one Iranian-backed Houthi uncrewed aerial vehicle (UAV) in a Houthi-controlled area of Yemen
——— FORECAST ————————-
When will Iran and Hezbollah strike? We are now several weeks out from the hit on Hama’s big leader in Tehran.
Operations in Gaza are maintaining their dynamic stableness (!!), with Israel hitting Hamas as bands join together. No major Gaza operations are in the near term.
Hamas continues it demands for Israel to capitulate in its fight and pull completely out of Gaza before Hamas will even consider hostage release negotiations.