CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
July 25 - Protest of Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
NOTE - I mis-dated the Netanyahu speech to this month.
***
During the presidential debate, masked far-left militants were prevented from rushing to the CNN building to shut down the event. Antifa, socialists, communists and pro-Palestine extremists had called for the debate to be shut down.
Biden did more damage to himself and his campaign than any of these punks could.
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024
Special Operations Association of America (SOAA) Chairman Christopher Miller, notes in the letter that his organization is “concerned by the current heightened risk of terrorist attacks against targets inside the United States and both U.S. and allied interests abroad.”
https://modernity.news/2024/06/27/us-special-forces-warns-of-imminent-terror-attack-inside-america/
OBSERVATION - Key to these heightened concerns is the disastrous withdraw from Afghanistan allowing for reconstitution of terror training bases and the resurgent growth of ISIS combined with the uncontrolled flood of illegals into the US.
POLITICAL FRONT –
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
CNN placed a very unusual 2 minute delay in the debate broadcasting and denied White House press pool members from watching the debate first hand.
Democrats waking up to the need to replace biden as the 2024 flag bearer now look to an empty bench with no real viable alternatives.
***
The next big event is the potential jailing of Trump from the bogus accounting charges in NY. The USSC restated the unlawful jury instructions eliminating unanimous verdicts and with the biden disaster last night, the question is just how aggressive will dems pursue the current course of lawfare
***
Garland continues to display the two tier legal/justice system in withholding the audio transcripts of Hu’s interview of biden. Could face contempt charges leading to the Sergeant at Arms attempting to arrest him as soon as today.
Biden / Harris Watch –
The democrats via their MSM mouthpieces spent the week promoting how strong and vigorous biden was, while at the same time lowering the bar of expectations for his expected performance in the debate.
Biden was so messed up, Jill Biden had to quickly come up and assist a stumbling/shuffling Joe Biden off the debate stage.
That came to a crashing halt last night as both republicans and democrats were totally shocked at the vegetable standing opposite of president Trump. In short, virtually every democrat pundit and MSM talking head had one common and clear statement - biden must step-down from the 2024 presidential run. This morning things got worse - trending calls to invoke the 25th Amendment and remove him from office now.
The likely ‘conspiracy theory’ is that this was a deliberate set up to force biden out.
I won’t go into the gory details from last night, will take too long and others are doing it better than I, but as a result of last night America is now facing a greater danger than ever before. Our ‘allies’ saw and were dismayed at him during the recent D-day memorials and G7 meetings. Now, with out a doubt, Iran, China, Russia and any other tin plated dictator and hater of America sees that the guy holding the nuclear football is a drooling mental vegetable who is not really in charge of the WH - leaving the question of WHO really is.
The potential for China to move on Taiwan has increased exponentially.
The drive by Iran to obtain the bomb has hit overdrive
Russian actions in Ukraine and against NATO have grown.
Risk of an expansive terror incident in the US is now off the charts.
The level of political and associated even constitutional crisis that a mentally and physically incompetent biden had pushed us into is beyond anything i’ve ever conceived of. Will he survive the weekend as the democrat candidate or even as the sitting president. Either way, the dumpster fire is massive and doesn’t appear to have any fire fighters responding.
China –
According to Taiwan’s defense ministry, there were consecutive double-digit numbers of People Liberation Army aircraft operating around the island in the past week. On Monday, Taiwan said that 23 PLA aircraft and seven PLA ships were detected over the past day.
The number of Chinese planes flying near Taiwan hit double-digits on June 18 and remained at that level into this week. China regularly conducts patrols in the area, but according to one report, the numbers of planes and ships involved are higher than they have been in recent years.
The stepped-up patrols are taking place in the wake of the latest US arms sales to Taiwan. The Biden administration has agreed to sell Taipei Switchblade 300 and ALTIUS 600M-V drones at an estimated cost of $360 million.
An essay in the Journal of Strategic Studies last year noted that Chinese ADIZ violations tend to correspond to politically sensitive developments such as major US and allied training in the region and visits from US or other pro-Taiwan officials.
https://warriormaven.com/china/china-massively-increases-fighter-jet-flights-above-taiwan
OBSERVATION - Increasing military activity by China servers to train its military as well as gauge Taiwan response times and measures. They also server to lull Taiwan into a false sense of normality.
Russia -
*****
Russia’s Defense Minister ordered officials to prepare a “response” to U.S. drone flights over the Black Sea, the ministry said Friday, in an apparent warning that Moscow may take forceful action to ward off the American reconnaissance aircraft.
The Russian Defense Ministry noted a recent “increased intensity” of U.S. drones over the Black Sea, saying they “conduct intelligence and targeting for precision weapons supplied to the Ukrainian military by Western countries for strikes on Russian facilities.”
“It shows an increased involvement of the U.S. and other NATO countries in the conflict in Ukraine on the side of the Kyiv regime,” the ministry said in a statement.
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/russia-ukraine-war/2024/06/28/id/1170509/
OBSERVATION - Global Hawk and other NATO intel birds fly in international waters. Should Russia choose to start shooting down the unmanned drones, then things could become spicy in just how the west want to respond.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 70 - 80s and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukraine drone has attacked oil depot in Michurinsk district of Tambov region.
The Kremniy El microelectronics plant in Bryansk and a military unit in the city of Karachev, Bryansk region, were attacked by Ukraine drones overnight
Russian forces attempting to push a breakthrough in the vicinity of Pivnichne. Continued assaults in the Ocheretyne region.
Ukraine continues to make progress against Russian forces in the Kharkiv region.
Kharkiv Front -
Kharkiv axis clashes today near Vovchansk, Lyptsi, Sotnytsky Kozachok, - General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine reports
Outlook —
No bold or dramatic changes to be seen. Ukraine continues its drone strikes on Russia oil related targets, with virtually no opposition.
Russian efforts on the ground continue to chew up a lot of its personnel and equipment with little to no gains.
Belarus -
Belarusian border guards claim the “Russian Volunteer Corps” RDK deployed near the border opposite Yelsk District of Gomiel region, so additional measures are being implemented in the area. Also claimed founding 2 kgs of explosives in the cache near the border
Ministry of Defense of Belarus: due to tense situation at the border with Ukraine, missile division, armed with MLRS Polonez deployed to the area
OBSERVATION - This is the same bunch that tried to reach deep across into Russia, causing mayhem along the way before pulling out. Similar activity into Belarus is far more dangerous and could provoke Belarus to counter attack into Ukraine, effectively drawing them into the war, something Belarus’ military and leadership have been working to avoid.
ISRAEL –
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Continued combinations of air and artillery strikes against Hamas strongholds.
Some IDF commanders are noting that it could take several months to deal with the vast tunnel network under Rafah.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah announces the killing of two of its members in Israeli raids on southern Lebanon. Hezbollah fires dozens of rockets towards Upper Galilee in probable retaliation for their deaths. Iron dome intercepts and no reports of damage or injuries.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
A ship traveling through the Red Sea came under repeated missile fire Friday in a likely attack launched by Yemen’s Houthi rebels, authorities said, the latest targeting the crucial maritime route.
Five missiles landed near the vessel as it traveled off the coast of the rebel-held port city of Hodeida in Yemen, the British military’s United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations center said.
The missiles landed near the vessel, but caused no damage, the UKTMO added.
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/yemen-houthi-rebels/2024/06/28/id/1170502/
——— FORECAST ————————-
Israel continues its build up towards an operation against Hezbollah. Hezbollah, for its part, appears to be slightly frozen in place due to key leadership losses and Iran’s efforts to select a new President. Indicators still suggest that the window for invasion is anchored in August sometime.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Mall of America now has a new way to keep shoppers safe.
A new high-tech layer of security has been added after gun-related incidents in recent years.
Signs let you know you’re coming face to face with new facial recognition technology.
“Very mixed feelings about this because it could be useful and not so useful sometimes,” said Melva Bargiela, a long-time Minnesota resident who is now living in Spain.
Cameras with the ability to map faces have been installed to give shoppers peace of mind while detecting potential threats.
OBSERVATION - This is a clear example of how the left is taking the chaos it generates and then moving to impose its ‘solution’ onto the citizenry - one step at a time. Mall of America was once a shining star. With imported Muslims and grown BLM entitlists, crime and mayhem has caused a crisis at the mall, driving shoppers away due to the perception of it no longer being safe. Enter biometric identification tools - facial recognition. Yes, on one hand it can be a good tool to ID and keep troublemakers away. OTOH, it can become the camel’s nose under the tent, making way for broader and more intrusive use and a substantially larger data base of everyone - not the the criminal/troublemaker.
Now take this one step further - apply biometric digital ID’s to the mix - globally.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
July 25 - Protest of Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
NOTE - I mis-dated the Netanyahu speech to this month.
***
SCOTUS has overturned the DOJ’s use of 1512(c)(2), obstruction of an official proceeding, in J6 cases. This has the implication to free hundreds of protestors and reverse their judgements. This exposes the DOJ’s unlawful prosecution of these individuals, many of whom have spent / are spending time in prison.
Like so many other items I’ve been pointing out here for years, this is was another govt effort to silence and intimidate the population into submission. Govt at war with the people.
Word is that Garland is already digging in his heels on a timely response and release of those illegally charged under 1512(c)(2). The fight isn’t over yet.
Economy- MODERATE Threat - as of June 26, 2024
The Fed’s favorite inflation indicator – Core PCE – which rose 0.1% MoM in May (after a revised +0.3% MoM for April) and in line with expectations. The headline PCE Price Index was unchanged MoM as expected.
OBSERVATION - Note - previous months having to be revised substantially higher - expect same with May data. Just more numbers thrown into the caldron of economic forecasting.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
A new report said Pentagon programs to sniff out “white supremacists” in the U.S. military came up empty-handed and were even counterproductive to military readiness and morale.
A zealous diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) bureaucracy has been established in the military and service academies, more recently “through mandated executive orders in the 2010s and 2020s,” the report, produced by the Arizona State University’s (ASU) Center for American Institutions, said. It also revealed that the efforts to “search for ‘violent extremists’ in the military,” have yielded rare and infrequent results.
The report uncovered that the military’s “search for white supremacists – seemingly the only extremists that interest the military – has come up short: only 100 members of the military were deemed to be extremists out of a force of 2.1 million.”
The military has actively pushed DEI policies and re-education classes with the goal “‘to eradicate racism, sexism, and negative biases that diminish our warfighting effectiveness,’” the report said, citing the 2021 Marine Corps DEI Plan.
“Just as private companies have abandoned the toxic advice of DEI consultants and programs, military leaders should end social engineering based on critical race theory and restore approaches that promote character and merit,” said Donald Critchlow, Director of the Center for American Institutions at ASU.
According to the report, “Spending on DEI programming is increasing. The DOD’s allocation for DEI projects jumped from $68 million in fiscal year 2022 to $86.5 million in fiscal year 2023. The Pentagon is requesting $114.7 million for fiscal year 2024.”
OBSERVATION - The link contains more that will make your blood boil. The current regime has taken these matters to an even higher, more absurd level than Obama and even Clinton did.
No wonder recruiting is way down.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
The World Health Organization (WHO) has backtracked on its stance regarding the Wuhan coronavirus (COVID-19) injections, now claiming that giving children these vaccines is a “low priority.”
Steve Watson of Modernity News highlighted this sudden turnaround, noting that anyone who didn’t recommend the COVID-19 injections would have been “suspended from social media or publicly ‘canceled.’” But given that the global health body was the one that changed its opinion, nobody batted an eyelash.
Meanwhile, Watson pointed out that the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) still recommends COVID-19 vaccines for children aged six months and older. “It’s unclear whether the CDC will follow in adapting its recommendations to this revised WHO policy,” he wrote.
According to the public health agency’s website, “everyone aged five years and older should get one dose of an updated COVID-19 vaccine to protect against serious illness.” Children aged six months to four years may need “multiple doses of COVID-19 vaccines to be up-to-date,” it added. The CDC’s recommendation for unvaccinated children aged six months to four years is equally outrageous, suggesting that they get injected with “two to three doses of updated COVID-19 vaccine. (Related: CDC is about to add covid-19 vaccines to the childhood immunization schedule, creating total liability protection for Pfizer & Moderna.)
The CDC justified COVID-19 vaccines for children by parroting the “safe and effective” line, deliberately ignoring the countless stories of vaccine injuries and deaths caused by the mRNA injection. Moreover, many studies have proven that vaccine-induced immunity wanes over time and that natural immunity remains superior when it comes to COVID-19.
https://www.naturalnews.com/2024-06-28-who-says-covid-vaccines-low-priority-kids.html
OBSERVATION - I find it unreal that the jab continues to be pressed - especially in the light that it does absolutely nothing to prevent infection AND the massive documentation showing that the jab is more lethal than the virus.
POLITICAL FRONT –
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
biden meltdown over whelms the question of who Trump’s VP choice will be. He didn’t announce it at the debate as anticipated.
Contempt vote against Garland is proceeding at a snail’s pace.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Aftershocks from Thursday’s debate still ripple across the democrat party. the biden regime quickly yesterday executed a counter attack against the plethora of voices calling for him to step aside from the 2024 run.
But biden hasn’t won the hearts of core liberal democrats yet. -
President Joe Biden should exit the 2024 presidential race following a subpar debate performance against former President Donald Trump, during which he appeared on the stage as “the shadow of a great public servant,” said The New York Times’ editorial board.
“He struggled to explain what he would accomplish in a second term. He struggled to respond to Mr. Trump’s provocations. He struggled to hold Mr. Trump accountable for his lies, his failures, and his chilling plans. More than once, he struggled to make it to the end of a sentence,” the Times’ editorial said.
“Mr. Biden has said that he is the candidate with the best chance of taking on this threat of tyranny and defeating it. His argument rests largely on the fact that he beat Mr. Trump in 2020,” it said. “That is no longer a sufficient rationale for why Mr. Biden should be the Democratic nominee this year.”
Yesterday, the effort became uniting around biden is to stop the bleeding. They don’t want to come across as a party in disarray, disunited and desperate.
Both 0bama and slick willie called for calm.
In essence, biden’s quick and forceful rejection of the calls to step down basically called the bluff of the, shall we call them the ‘anti-bidens’ of the democrat party. The party has no viable alternative candidate! Even pretty boy newscum would be hammed at this stage. They waited too long for they coup of sorts, and now they have to pay the piper.
Rumor are persisting that top Democrats have given Biden one week to prove himself fit for the presidency after his diabolical debate performance or they’ll oust him, according to reports.
Big financial backers are also warning that they will put their checkbooks away should biden continue in the race.
Next week should prove interesting unless the biden camp can further clamp down this weekend on the calls to step aside.
Russia -
Russian Personnel Issues –-
Russian losses in June continue to keep pace with the record number of personnel killed and injured in May, which averaged 1,200 per day. These numbers appear to be sustained so far for June as well.
Former Russian Deputy Defense Minister Tatyana Shevtsova, who officially was dismissed mid-June, fled to France ‘with hundreds of millions of dollars saved in cryptocurrency.’.
Tsargrad and other Telegram channels report this with reference to a number of sources, although confirmation or refutation of this data has not yet been received.
Economic Impact –
“Profits in Russia’s coal mining sector have plummeted by 93% in the first four months of 2024 to just RUB 14.3 billion (roughly US$161.2 million).”
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 70 - 80s and fair.
RUMINT – Ukraine forces building on the border of Belarus.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russian missiles hit an apartment building in Dnipro City and unspecified targets near Kryvyi Rih.
More Russian ground attacks along most of the eastern front.
Ukraine hit another oil storage facility .
Russian 83rd Airborne Brigade has retreated from Vovchansk after a costly three-week deployment, - Forbes
They have too many casualties, they can’t fight, there are too many soldiers who refuses to fight along with the survivors of an entire battalion have been trapped in a chemical plant for two weeks.
NOTE- the 83d is ‘airborne ‘ in name only. It has the reputation of being the go-to unit to pull Russia’s fat out of the fire over the past couple years. That luck appears to have run out.
Ukraine reportedly has destroyed the new S-500 air defense system of the Russian Armed Forces, located at Dzhankoi airfield in occupied Crimea. NASA satellite detected a fire at the location.. Details are sketchy at the moment. Initial reports were that the associated radar system was taken out, later reports included the missile TELS as well. Ukraine reportedly used an ATACAMs missile in the attack. Either way a huge hit since Russia has (had) only one of these in existence. The approximate price is $600 million.
Outlook —
The Russian effort against Kharkiv is slowly coming apart and most of the effort is to construct defenses against the Ukraine counter offensive in the region. Russian losses at Vovchansk threaten the eastern wing of the Russian intrusion, splitting the Russian forces there in two and potentially setting up further encirclement because the town is behind the Russian defenses on both sides.
Russia continues to press assaults along a long front in eastern Ukraine. OSINT and other observers are noting that Russia has shifted to more straight infantry attacks - without armor or tank support - in many of these attacks. Opposite of the successes Russia gained earlier this spring, incorporating maneuver and coordinated assaults, it seems they have returned to even greater meat attacks. Many are noting the elevated and sustained levels of Russian casualties - over 1200 per day. This implies that over the past 100 days, Russia has lost as many as 120,000 soldiers killed/wounded. Russia claimed to have committed 400, 000 to the spring (now summer) offensive. This indicates that over 25% of that force is gone, and equipment losses appear to be even higher.
Ukraine losses are closely held, but it appears that they have declined now that ammo resupply has reached the front.
Ukraine is reportedly making over 1000 drones (FBV) per day, production numbers ramped up during the ammo shortage crisis. Now with restoration of supplies from the west, the battle zone has become even more lethal to Russian forces. Drones can make initial strikes on armor/vehicle columns, stopping them long enough for destruction in detail by artillery fire. Videos supplied by Ukraine consistently show that once the forces are hit with drones, Russian soldiers quickly dismount and beat feet back to their lines before the artillery comes down. Many times they are not fast enough.
Ukraine continues to successfully target key Russian air defense assets, with the biggest kill likely Russia’s only S500 unit. As noted before, this effort is paying off big time as Ukraine drones are increasing their success in reaching and hitting Russian oil related facilities. Now that drone effort is shifting to combat airfields further away from the front as Russia tries to protect its air assets by redeploying them out of ATACMS range.
Ukraine innovative and well planned tactics have driven the Black Sea Fleet to the bottom of the sea or keeping them in Russian Ports. This same effort is stripping Russia of its limited air superiority and defenses, first in Crimea and then Russian areas to the east. Remarkable successes for a nation with essentially no navy and no effective airfares to counter newer Russian jets.
Clearly, to me anyway, the Ukraine campaign to neutralize Russia ADA capabilities is a precursor to likely aggressive use of F16s once they get their hands on them and a cadre of pilots trained.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Weather/sea conditions force removal of US pier in N Gaza.
- More Iranian threats against Israel stay away from Lebanon and Hezbollah.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
The pier built by the U.S. military to bring aid to Gaza is being removed due to weather to protect it, and the U.S. is considering not reinstalling it unless aid begins flowing out into the population again, several U.S. officials said Friday.
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/gaza-pier-humanitarian-aid/2024/06/28/id/1170583/
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Considerable fighting and air strikes in N Gaza around Gaza City.
Hamas managed to lob a few rockets towards Sderot.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
US military stated it had destroyed seven Houthi drones and one ground control station vehicle on Friday.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
The United Kingdom submitted a brief questioning to the International Criminal Court challenging its jurisdiction over Israel, potentially delaying moves to issue an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, news reports revealed on Thursday.
The ICC awarded itself the competence to investigate war crimes in Palestinian and Israeli territory in 2021, but the British paper challenges this power.
——— FORECAST ————————-
IDF has suffered some losses in recent days due to IEDs and booby traps in central and N Gaza. Yet these operations have also taken out dozens of Hamas and affiliated elements.
More photos sourced from Hamas show civilian clad terrorists firing mortars at Israeli forces from within tent areas - likely those associated with refugees. These are clear violations of the rules of war, and the UN is complete casting a blind eye towards the practice - only speaking up when IDF takes the position out and there are collateral injuries/deaths.
Israel continues to prepare for the conflict with Hezbollah in the north. I still suspect that the main Israeli thrust will be in the far north, generally in the Sheba Farms area and into the southern Bekaah Valley. Now with July at the doorstep, if August is jump off month, one should see greater reserve call ups and exercises in the north preparing for the attack. Israel may likely use these exercises as cover for the actual attack, similar to what they did on a smaller scale against Gaza/Hamas.
Iranian political challenges associated with the runoff vote puts question marks on how ready Iran would be to respond militarily to an Israeli/Hezbollah fight.
One other wildcard developing is the growth of Lebanese opposition fighting forces looking to hit Hezbollah as well. Grudges from the many civil wars in the country has not aided Hezbollah of late. Hezbollah could face a two front war of its own, with israeli and Lebanese elements coming at them. Be sure, Israel has contacts with these other elements and likely has contingency plans to support their efforts with air power as needed. They would also provide excellent targeting intelligence to allow israel to take out leadership command posts and rocket storage locations. Remember, S Lebanon is not the dense urban environment that Gaza is and the fight will be more conventional and the IAF able to unleash with larger bombs without excessive concerns over collateral damage and losses.
Iran –
Iran announced Saturday it will hold a runoff presidential election to replace the late hard-line President Ebrahim Raisi after an initial vote saw the top candidates not securing an outright win in the lowest turnout poll ever held in the Islamic Republic.
The election this coming Friday will pit reformist candidate Masoud Pezeshkian against the hard-line former nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili.
Mohsen Eslami, an election spokesman, announced the result in a news conference carried by Iranian state television. He said of 24.5 million votes cast, Pezeshkian got 10.4 million while Jalili received 9.4 million.
Parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf got 3.3 million. Shiite cleric Mostafa Pourmohammadi had over 206,000 votes.
Iranian law requires that a winner gets more than 50% of all votes cast. If not, the race’s top two candidates advance to a runoff a week later. There’s been only one runoff presidential election in Iran’s history: in 2005, when hard-liner Mahmoud Ahmadinejad bested former President Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani.
The overall turnout was 39.9%, according to the results.
OBSERVATION - This runoff could be interesting. Odds look to the one who will follow the hardline ruling mullahs the best. A ‘reformist’ doesn’t fit the mold very well. What other effects did the low turnout cause?
***
Iran’s acting FM had phone calls with EU FP chief, UN Secretary General as well as foreign ministers of Germany, Russia, Saudi Arabia and Cyprus in past 24 hours to discuss the situation in Gaza
Turkey –
Erdogan says there is no obstacle for establishing relations with Syria’s Assad. “Turkey doesn’t have any intention to interfere with Syria’s domestic affairs,” he said. “We can come together with Assad as we did in the past as a family”
OBSERVATION - Assad has not been very happy with the Turkish incursion into N Syria. Turkey and Syrian forces have fought on occasion and Turkey in some measure supports the rebels over Assad. Lately, Turkey has focused its efforts to take out Kurdish elements that have used N Syria as a base for incursions into Turkey.
Misc of Note –
Hurricane season is winding up the Gulf region. Get yourselves prepped now and avoid the crowds.