https://twitter.com/ChuckPfarrer/status/1738371857873621263
This will drive the FR_CodePink crowd nuts.
Posted on 12/23/2023 5:46:03 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When a vehicle is captured and then lost in service with its new owners, it is only added as a loss of the original operator to avoid double listings. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it's not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
Previous day’s thread: https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/4205171/posts
Summarizing this war:
A tragedy for Ukraine.
A disaster for RuZZia.
A strategic win for the USA.
“Why Internet Trolls Do What They Do and How to Spot Russian Fakes”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dLtBzvw0—0
“Here is the best-kept secret about U.S. military aid to Ukraine: Most of the money is being spent here in the United States. That’s right: Funds that lawmakers approve to arm Ukraine are not going directly to Ukraine but being used stateside to build new weapons or to replace weapons sent to replace weapons sent to Kyiv from U.S. stockpiles. Of the $68 billion in military and related assistance Congress has approved since Russia invaded Ukraine, almost 90 percent is going to Americans, one analysis found.”
https://twitter.com/TheDeadDistrict/status/1730119780873441750
Time to self grade 2023 predictions and make 2024 predictions.
2023 predictions: (https://freerepublic.c om/focus/bloggers/4114800/posts)
S&P 500 will reach 5000 by end of 2023. 25% higher than today.
A- S&P 500 just closed at 4754. Up 23% YTD.
Inflation will be down to 2% by end of 2023 as measured by the Core PCE.
(https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_core_pce_price_index_yoy)
B+ Core PCE just closed at 3.2%
The Federal Reserve will be cutting interest rates in the second half of 2023.
F. Looks like interest rates cuts in 2024.
RuZZia will be the worst performing major economy in 2023 (as they were in 2022).
F. RuZZia economy probably grew in excess of 3% this year.
US oil production will exceed 13m in 2023, a record high.
A+ Currently 13.26m bpd. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=MCRFPUS2&f=M
Oil prices will end 2023 higher than today (China reopening).
A+ WTI was 71.67 on 12/10/2022 and 73.56 today
RuZZia’s tank losses will exceed 2750 by the end of 2023.
B-. RuZZia tank losses was 1545 on 12/08/2022 and 2571 today
RuZZian casualties will exceed 300,000 from current 150,000.
A+ US last estimated 315,000 casualties. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Casualties_of_the_Russo-Ukrainian_War
RuZZia will conduct 1 (probably 2) more mobilizations in 2023.
F. I was expecting an official mobilization. But we do know RuZZia has been conducting ‘covert’ mobilizations.
The war in Ukraine will still be raging at the end of 2023.
A+ That was easy to predict.
Austin home prices will rise by another 10%.
F. “Home prices are up in all major U.S. cities, except one: ‘The Austin housing market has whiplash,’ says economist
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/21/home-prices-are-up-in-all-major-us-cities-except-austin-texas.html
2024 Predictions
S&P 500 will reach 5300 by end of 2024. 11% higher than today.
Inflation will be down to 2% by end of 2024 as measured by the Core PCE.
The Federal Reserve will be cutting interest rates in 2024.
RuZZia will be the worst performing major economy in 2024.
US oil production will exceed 14m in 2024, a record high.
Oil prices will end 2024 higher than today.
RuZZia’s tank losses will exceed 3300 by the end of 2024.
RuZZian casualties will exceed 450,000 from current 315,000.
RuZZia will conduct at least 1 mobilization in 2024.
The war in Ukraine will still be raging at the end of 2024.
Austin home prices will rise by at least 10% in 2024.
We learned not to take predictions from Codeflier...
2 of my first 3 2023 predictions were pretty accurate. 3rd prediction will occur in 2024.
Hahaha. Hohoho.
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To: SpeedyInTexas
Your first three were good for a chuckle. You should change your tagline to “I predict the opposite of what will happen”.
Take your Democrat propaganda somewhere else please. Why do you insist on flooding FR with this crap?
18 posted on 12/8/2022, 9:44:01 AM by Codeflier (Screw Ukraine. America is burning, and we need to concentrate on our own collapse taking place)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies | Report Abuse]
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“Yesterday morning, another assault on the farm was repulsed in the area of Novomikhailivka village. Russians have been trying to assault this farm and a cemetery every day for months now to gain a foothold for the assault of the village itself. Below: drone follows a Russian vehicle trying to escape.“
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1738296241132331178
“#Avdiivka offensive equipment loss numbers as of 22 December 2023. In summary: 374 RU losses vs. 29 UA losses Spreadsheet showing the losses in detail:”
https://twitter.com/naalsio26/status/1738391258869936507
“Battle of #Krynky equipment loss numbers as of 22 December 2023. In summary: 65 RU losses vs. 0 UA losses Note that this is a largely dismounted Ukrainian operation across the Dnipro river, so zero UA equipment losses is not surprising and does not necessarily reflect the situation for UA personnel on the ground. Spreadsheet showing the losses in detail:”
https://twitter.com/naalsio26/status/1738403734697230740
“Ukrainian 30th Mechanised Brigade continues to destroy Russian invaders in Kupyansk direction, Kharkiv region”
https://twitter.com/GloOouD/status/1738490455547937046
“Avdeevskoe direction: - you’re not my thing, go away, dear”
https://twitter.com/666_mancer/status/1738526915256836219
Not bad, think your tank numbers are A+, pretty sure oryx numbers are low certainly reached the numbers you predicted and exceeded them
Besides year is not over yet even for oryx
GDP may be an F, but how Russia comes up with these numbers even if true are not encouraging. Ie Gm builds 1 million cars sells to govt and then govt gets them blown up, build trench works in the sand and then get washed away yup GDP
Invaders lost 1000+ tanks in the past year.
Simply Amazing. Greatest military ClusterF in modern times.
https://twitter.com/ChuckPfarrer/status/1738371857873621263
This will drive the FR_CodePink crowd nuts.
I’m there re US oil (and gas) production. Continuing efficiency improvements have driven production increases. Even current changes are still playing out.
Its a fair bet with oil prices. Global demand is key. Everything is looking down, globally, so far.
I doubt the S&P forecast. Consumer demand sucks, and probably will continue to do so. National morale is going to continue to be in the pits, if not get far worse. Its going to get MUCH uglier.
Let’s see…
Predictions for 2023
S&P 500 will reach 5000 by end of 2023. 25% higher than today. Probably not. I bet 4600 - therefore wrong.
Inflation will be down to 2% by end of 2023 as measured by the Core PCE.
(https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_core_pce_price_index_yoy) - Don’t trust the way the government manipulates such figures.
The Federal Reserve will be cutting interest rates in the second half of 2023. Wrong. 2023 is 2023, not 2024. Therefore wrong.
RuZZia will be the worst performing major economy in 2023 (as they were in 2022). That’s understandable. So correct.
US oil production will exceed 13m in 2023, a record high. I will say this is mostly correct. Good call.
Oil prices will end 2023 higher than today (China reopening). That one is close, I will count as wrong after applying an inflation adjustment.
RuZZia’s tank losses will exceed 2750 by the end of 2023. Dubious sources. No way to verify.
RuZZian casualties will exceed 300,000 from current 150,000. Dubious sources. No way to verify.
RuZZia will conduct 1 (probably 2) more mobilizations in 2023. Subjective.
The war in Ukraine will still be raging at the end of 2023. Correct
Austin home prices will rise by another 10%. I think you need to check again. Austin is actually having declining prices going into year end.
Bookmark and revisit in a year.
NO CEASEFIRE
“Putin Quietly Signals He Is Open to a Cease-Fire in Ukraine”
“Despite its bravado in public, the Kremlin has indicated its interest in striking a deal to halt the war — so long as it could still declare victory.”
“President Vladimir V. Putin’s confidence seems to know no bounds.
Buoyed by Ukraine’s failed counteroffensive and flagging Western support, Mr. Putin says that Russia’s war goals have not changed. Addressing his generals on Tuesday, he boasted that Ukraine was so beleaguered that Russia’s invading troops were doing “what we want.”
“We won’t give up what’s ours,” he pledged, adding dismissively, “If they want to negotiate, let them negotiate.”
But in a recent push of back-channel diplomacy, Mr. Putin has been sending a different message: He is ready to make a deal.
Mr. Putin has been signaling through intermediaries since at least September that he is open to a cease-fire that freezes the fighting along the current lines, far short of his ambitions to dominate Ukraine, two former senior Russian officials close to the Kremlin and American and international officials who have received the message from Mr. Putin’s envoys say.”
I’m sure he does. While Indicted War Criminal Little Pukin started this war, Ukraine gets to decide when it ends.
“While deploying fiery public rhetoric, Mr. Putin privately telegraphs a desire to declare victory and move on.”
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